Match Info

Challenge League - Round 5

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Birżebbuġa St. Peters		Mtarfa

	1	X	2
	1.1	7.1	15.5	Watch
	1.19	5.68	13.17	Watch
	1.09	9.95	16.9
	1.11	6	16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.14)	7.18 ↑ (6.25)	15.39 ↑ (13)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birżebbuġa St. Peters
81.4%

Draw
12.7%

Mtarfa
5.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.7%

14.4%

6.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birżebbuġa St. Peters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Mtarfa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Mtarfa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, David Oliveira ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Sultana T. ⚽,
9', 2 - 1, David Oliveira ⚽,
16', 3 - 1, Alex Bruno ⚽,
41', 4 - 1, Lapira P. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
49', 4 - 2, ⚽,
65', 5 - 2, ⚽,
69', 6 - 2, ⚽,
75', 7 - 2, ⚽,
87', 8 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: )).

In this match, Birżebbuġa is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birżebbuġa St. Peters
Maltese Challenge League
25.10.25	Żurrieq - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	2:3 ✺
28.09.25	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Swieqi United	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Mġarr United - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Pietà Hotspurs	3:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
16.11.22	Attard - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLWL
- Mtarfa FC
Maltese Challenge League
25.10.25	Mtarfa - St. Andrews	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Melita - Mtarfa	4:0 ✺
21.09.25	Mtarfa - Marsa	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Santa Lucia - Mtarfa	7:0 ✺
12.04.25	Mtarfa - Fgura United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLLW

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