Match Info

WSL - Round 4

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)

Referee: Fearn A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Birmingham City LFC		Crystal Palace

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.7	4.5
	1.68	3.60	4.00
	1.7	3.45	4
	1.76	3.63	4.38
	1.74	3.76	4.39	Watch
	1.72	3.5	4.2
	1.7	3.58	4.2
	1.73	3.6	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.78)	3.6 ↓ (3.65)	4.22 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City LFC
53.1%

Draw
25.3%

Crystal Palace
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

24.8%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Birmingham City LFC - Crystal Palace Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Baggaley S. (G) 3. Levasseur M. 21. Turner M. (C) 30. Herron N. 18. McKenna R. 26. Miyagawa A. 8. Naalsund L. 16. Crosthwaite L. 7. Lee Geum-Min 22. Hurtre O. 27. Sarri V.	26. Peyraud-Magnin P. (G) 32. Bartrip M. 29. Swaby A. 22. Goldie T. 3. Napier J. 24. Hopcroft S. 6. Everett A. (C) 7. Lloyd-Smith L. 17. Blanchard A. 27. O’Brien S. 9. England B.
Substitutes
14. Amano S. 6. Cooke S. 19. Cornet C. 20. Effa Effa C. 2. Harris M. 15. Holloway R. 10. Leidhammar W. 4. Rastocle J. 1. Thomas L. (G)	12. Cosme C. 4. Enge S. 56. Erhabor C. (G) 10. Howat K. 19. Larkin A. 15. Nolan H. 8. Sharpe M. 11. Weerden A. 30. Yanez S. (G)
Coaches
Merricks A.	Potter J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Hurtre O. ⚽, Lee Geum-Min (A),
25', O’Brien S. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Hopcroft S. ⚽,
33', 2 - 1, Hurtre O. ⚽, Herron N. (A),
44', Napier J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Napier J. ↓, Enge S. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, England B. ⚽,
71', O’Brien S. ↓, Larkin A. ↑,
71', Sarri V. ↓, Effa Effa C. ↑,
77', 2 - 3, Lloyd-Smith L. ⚽,
81', Lee Geum-Min ↓, Amano S. ↑,
82', Hurtre O. 🟨,
87', 3 - 3, Amano S. ⚽, Naalsund L. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1.

Performances by Crystal Palace have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Crystal Palace may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Birmingham is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Birmingham: Magill S. (Maternity leave).

Confirmed absences for Crystal Palace: Cato M. (Knee Injury) Green J. (Maternity leave) Tsunoda F. (Red Card) Vanhaevermaet J. (Maternity leave).

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Birmingham has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:12 (averaging 1.5:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Birmingham against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 5:6 goals (averaging 1.7:2 per game).

Outrights of English WSL for now

Birmingham W: 0.14% Crystal Palace W: 0.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Crystal Palace W	5	1	3	1	5:11	-6	6
13	Birmingham W	5	0	2	3	7:12	-5	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City LFC
English League Cup Women
23.09.26	Everton - Birmingham City LFC	2:0 ✺
English WSL
19.09.26	Chelsea - Birmingham City LFC	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Birmingham City LFC - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Manchester City - Birmingham City LFC	3:1 ✺
English WSL 2
02.05.26	Charlton Athletic - Birmingham City LFC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLTLW
- Crystal Palace LFC
English League Cup Women
23.09.26	Crystal Palace - Watford	1:0 ✺
English WSL
20.09.26	Crystal Palace - Tottenham Hotspur	0:7 ✺
13.09.26	Arsenal LFC - Crystal Palace	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Crystal Palace - Everton	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly Women
05.08.26	Real Madrid - Crystal Palace	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.3 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English WSL 2
16.02.26	Birmingham City LFC - Crystal Palace	1:3
07.12.25	Crystal Palace - Birmingham City LFC	3:0
14.04.24	Crystal Palace - Birmingham City LFC	1:0
03.09.23	Birmingham City LFC - Crystal Palace	1:2
16.04.23	Crystal Palace - Birmingham City LFC	2:4
22.03.23	Birmingham City LFC - Crystal Palace	3:1

Birmingham City LFC - Crystal Palace: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide