Match Info

WSL 2 - Round 4

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton)


	Southampton		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	2.31	3.3	2.9
	2.32	3.33	2.86	Watch
	2.34	3.42	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.84)	3.35 ↓ (3.94)	2.78 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southampton
39.5%

Draw
27.4%

Sunderland
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

23.1%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Southampton's performance.

Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sunderland might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Southampton - Sunderland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Stenson F. (G) 14. Bashford M. 6. Bourne T. 7. Brazil E. 11. Ferguson A. 15. Hack E. 10. McAlonie M. 3. Mott M. 8. Peplow C. 20. Primus A. (C) 19. Simpson J.	16. Moloney G. (G) 2. Atkinson I. 11. Brown J. 14. Fenton N. 4. Greenwood H. 6. Griffiths L. 10. Kitching K. 5. Roberts R. (C) 8. Scarr E. 21. Sheva M. 7. Watson K.
Substitutes
4. Akpan A. 23. Collett M. 5. Goddard A. . Lampard . Prout 35. Roberts E. 49. Udebhulu N. 27. Watts I.	49. Boothroyd N. 3. Corbyn M. . Donnelly 32. Dunbar N. 17. Finn J. 20. Jones E. 25. Rabjohn E. 27. Westrup B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Watson K. ⚽, Scarr E. (A),
45+4', 1 - 1, Peplow C. ⚽,
45+4', Roberts R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Ferguson A. 🟨,
67', Atkinson I. ↓, Corbyn M. ↑,
73', Mott M. ↓, Collett M. ↑,
73', Ferguson A. ↓, Watts I. ↑,
75', Sheva M. 🟨,
76', Primus A. 🟨,
84', Primus A. ↓, Goddard A. ↑,
87', Kitching K. ↓, Dunbar N. ↑,
90', Peplow C. ↓, Akpan A. ↑,
90', McAlonie M. ↓, Roberts E. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ WSL).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southampton won 2.

Sunderland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Southampton won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Southampton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton WFC
English WSL 2
21.09.25	Southampton - Bristol City	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Crystal Palace - Southampton	4:4 ✺
06.09.25	Southampton - Ipswich Town	4:0 ✺
04.05.25	Southampton - Charlton Athletic	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Sheffield United - Southampton	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTWLW
- Sunderland AFC Ladies
English WSL 2
19.09.25	Sunderland - Durham	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Sunderland - Birmingham City LFC	1:1 ✺
05.09.25	Sheffield United - Sunderland	0:4 ✺
04.05.25	Sunderland - Sheffield United	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Bristol City - Sunderland	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English WSL 2
19.01.25	Southampton - Sunderland	0:2
15.09.24	Sunderland - Southampton	0:3
03.03.24	Sunderland - Southampton	1:0
English FA Cup Women
14.01.24	Sunderland - Southampton	0:2
English WSL 2
10.09.23	Southampton - Sunderland	0:1
12.02.23	Sunderland - Southampton	0:1
30.10.22	Southampton - Sunderland	1:0

Southampton - Sunderland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide