Match Info

Women’s FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton)


	Southampton		Bristol City

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.65	1.8
	2.74	3.79	2.18	Watch
	3.4	3.3	1.91
	3.62	3.52	1.97
	3.75	4	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.82)	3.65 ↑ (3.4)	1.92 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southampton
27%

Draw
25.2%

Bristol City
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

26.8%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Southampton's form might have worsened.

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bristol City's recent form is better than expected.

Southampton - Bristol City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Stenson F. (G) 5. Goddard A. (C) 3. Mott M. 6. Bourne T. 23. Collett M. 14. Bashford M. 8. Peplow C. 66. Palmer A. 19. Simpson J. 7. Brazil E. 10. McAlonie M.	1. Bentley F. (G) 20. Morgan E. 41. Bennett H. 4. Struck C. 7. Robinson K. 8. Losada V. (C) 5. Ingle S. 14. Ward M. 21. Dafeur M. 9. Hardy R. 23. Jones V.
Substitutes
2. Brown R. 12. Edwards M. 11. Ferguson A. 15. Hack E. 17. McGowan T. 30. Pettit E. (G) 20. Primus A. 26. Tucker R. 27. Watts I.	19. Farrugia M. 33. Gale J. 3. Lawley G. 10. Lloyd-Smith L. 18. Meena M. 13. Mutch E. (G) 2. Powell E. 24. Saez C. 16. Syme E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, McAlonie M. ⚽, Brazil E. (A),
45+5', Robinson K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Losada V. ↓, Syme E. ↑,
46', Jones V. ↓, Lloyd-Smith L. ↑,
55', Peplow C. 🟨,
67', McAlonie M. 🟨,
68', Ingle S. ↓, Gale J. ↑,
68', Palmer A. ↓, Primus A. ↑,
75', Robinson K. ↓, Farrugia M. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Syme E. ⚽,
81', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
97', 🟨,
105', Mott M. ↓, Hack E. ↑,
116', 1 - 2, Hardy R. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southampton won 1.

Bristol City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Southampton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bristol City has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Southampton won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Southampton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton WFC
English WSL 2
10.01.26	Southampton - Portsmouth	4:0 ✺
21.12.25	Sheffield United - Southampton	0:2 ✺
08.12.25	Newcastle United - Southampton	1:0 ✺
English League Cup Women
23.11.25	Southampton - Charlton Athletic	1:2 ✺
English WSL 2
16.11.25	Southampton - Durham	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLLT
- Bristol City WFC
English WSL 2
11.01.26	Nottingham Forest - Bristol City	2:4 ✺
17.12.25	Bristol City - Crystal Palace	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup Women
14.12.25	Bristol City - Portsmouth	2:0 ✺
English WSL 2
07.12.25	Bristol City - Sheffield United	4:0 ✺
English League Cup Women
23.11.25	Bristol City - Tottenham Hotspur	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English WSL 2
21.09.25	Southampton - Bristol City	0:1
16.02.25	Bristol City - Southampton	0:0
08.09.24	Southampton - Bristol City	1:1
English League Cup Women
11.10.23	Bristol City - Southampton	1:2 penalties
English WSL 2
26.03.23	Southampton - Bristol City	0:1
English FA Cup Women
11.12.22	Bristol City - Southampton	2:0
English WSL 2
25.09.22	Bristol City - Southampton	1:1

Southampton - Bristol City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide