Match Info

ENGLAND: Professional Development League

Date: 9 December 2024, Monday


	Birmingham City U21		Wigan Athletic U21

	1	X	2
	1.37	5.25	5.25
	1.45	5.36	4.91
	1.46	5.34	5.22	Watch
	1.44	4.75	4.5
	1.33	5.45	6.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.65)	5.23 ↑ (4.44)	5.2 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City U21
64.9%

Draw
17.5%

Wigan Athletic U21
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

20.6%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

17%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Birmingham City U21's performance.

Wigan Athletic U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wigan Athletic U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City U21 than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Birmingham City U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic U21 than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wigan Athletic U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Birmingham City U21 - Wigan Athletic U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Chang A. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Miller K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
68', 1 - 2, Costello T. ⚽,
83', 1 - 3, Costello T. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 11).

Recent matches Birmingham U21 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wigan U21 has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Birmingham U21 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Birmingham U21 is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Birmingham U21 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:12 (average 1.8:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham U21 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:7 (average 1:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City U21
English Professional Development League
03.12.24	Burnley U21 - Birmingham City U21	8:1 ✺
15.11.24	Birmingham City U21 - Sheffield United U21	2:2 ✺
English Premier League Cup
11.11.24	Birmingham City U21 - Leeds United U21	3:2 ✺
English Professional Development League
05.11.24	Barnsley U21 - Birmingham City U21	2:2 ✺
25.10.24	Birmingham City U21 - Hull City U21	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 LTWTL
- Wigan Athletic U21
English Professional Development League
19.11.24	Hull City U21 - Wigan Athletic U21	3:1 ✺
05.11.24	Wigan Athletic U21 - Sheffield Wednesday U21	1:3 ✺
29.10.24	Peterborough United U21 - Wigan Athletic U21	3:0 ✺
22.10.24	Wigan Athletic U21 - Burnley U21	0:2 ✺
15.10.24	Fleetwood Town U21 - Wigan Athletic U21	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Professional Development League
15.01.24	Wigan Athletic U21 - Birmingham City U21	0:5
15.09.23	Birmingham City U21 - Wigan Athletic U21	1:3
17.01.23	Wigan Athletic U21 - Birmingham City U21	5:0
12.09.22	Birmingham City U21 - Wigan Athletic U21	1:4

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