Match Info

ENGLAND: Professional Development League

Date: 5 November 2024, Tuesday


	Barnsley U21		Birmingham City U21

	1	X	2
	1.77	4.2	3.4
	1.84	4.32	3.23
	1.81	4.42	3.51	Watch
	1.73	4.33	3.25
	1.8	3.88	3.5
	1.77	4.2	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.75)	4.23 ↓ (4.26)	3.38 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnsley U21
51.3%

Draw
21.7%

Birmingham City U21
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

21.6%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

21.2%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Birmingham City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley U21 than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City U21 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Barnsley U21 - Birmingham City U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Dyer J. ⚽,
45+5', 1 - 1, Isichei D. ⚽,
45+8', 2 - 1, Barratt C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', Nwakali K. 🟥,
86', 2 - 2, Mazwi M. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 10).

Recent matches Barnsley U21 is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Birmingham U21 is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barnsley U21 will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Barnsley U21 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:8 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Barnsley U21 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnsley U21
English Professional Development League
25.10.24	Barnsley U21 - Sheffield United U21	1:1 ✺
15.10.24	Burnley U21 - Barnsley U21	3:1 ✺
04.10.24	Barnsley U21 - Crewe Alexandra U21	2:0 ✺
01.10.24	Barnsley U21 - Peterborough United U21	3:4 ✺
24.09.24	Wigan Athletic U21 - Barnsley U21	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLWLW
- Birmingham City U21
English Professional Development League
25.10.24	Birmingham City U21 - Hull City U21	1:2 ✺
21.10.24	Crewe Alexandra U21 - Birmingham City U21	4:2 ✺
15.10.24	Coventry City U21 - Birmingham City U21	8:0 ✺
30.09.24	Sheffield Wednesday U21 - Birmingham City U21	2:1 ✺
23.09.24	Birmingham City U21 - Fleetwood Town U21	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Professional Development League
13.03.24	Birmingham City U21 - Barnsley U21	3:1
05.12.23	Barnsley U21 - Birmingham City U21	1:2
06.01.23	Barnsley U21 - Birmingham City U21	1:2
17.10.22	Birmingham City U21 - Barnsley U21	1:1

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