The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Burnley U21 57.2%
Draw 20.1%
Birmingham City U21 22.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.1%
19.1%
21.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.1%
16.5%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burnley U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Birmingham City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley U21 than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burnley U21 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City U21 than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Burnley U21 - Birmingham City U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Forshaw L. (G) 4. Williams J. (C) 6. Brierley G. 5. Delcroix H. 2. Campbell M. 7. Masara V. 8. Clark E. 11. Pouani B. 3. Pimlott O. 9. Bevan J. 10. Veevers C.
1. O'Sullivan W. (G) 2. Da Silva A. 18. Boakye G. 4. Burrell B. (C) 3. Quirk J. 8. Ellis O. 6. Eubank C. 10. Betteka Z. 7. Mazwi M. 11. Isichei D. 9. Bateman B.
Substitutes
15. Ashton J. 12. Cooney O. (G) 17. Johnson Z. 16. Leuluai M. 14. McEvilly J.
15. Guernier A. 12. Sanders C. 13. Warmington T. (G) 17. Wodskou B. 14. Wynne G.
Coaches
Farrell A.
Kennedy M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Mazwi M. ⚽, Bateman B. (A),
41', 0 - 2, Isichei D. ⚽, Betteka Z. (A),
43', Quirk J. 🟨,
45', Campbell M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Bevan J. 🟨,
58', Williams J. 🟨,
62', Bateman B. ↓, Wodskou B. ↑,
65', Betteka Z. ↓, Guernier A. ↑,
67', Bevan J. ↓, McEvilly J. ↑,
74', Pouani B. 🟨,
79', Masara V. 🟨,
80', Boakye G. 🟨,
85', Isichei D. ↓, Sanders C. ↑,
86', Mazwi M. 🟨,
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 20 and 16 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley U21 won 3.
Burnley U21 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Birmingham U21 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Birmingham U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Burnley U21 is a strong favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Burnley U21 won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 2.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Burnley U21 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 4:1.3).
Watch
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Forshaw L. (G) 
Williams J. (C) 
Delcroix H. 
Campbell M. 
Boakye G. 
Betteka Z. 
Mazwi M. 
Cooney O. (G) 
Leuluai M. 
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