Match Info

Date: 3 February 2021, Wednesday


	Bisceglie		Avellino

	1	X	2
	4.2	3	1.83
	4.1	3.1	1.83	Watch
	3.95	3.05	1.85
	3.85	3.1	1.9
	4.21	3.25	1.97
	4	3.2	1.95
	4.2	3.22	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (3.3)	3.13 ↑ (3)	1.89 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bisceglie
22.4%

Draw
29.2%

Avellino
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

30.1%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

23.7%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bisceglie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avellino's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bisceglie than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avellino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	3.8%	88.5%

Bisceglie - Avellino Predictions

Users Predictions: Avellino will win (23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.18% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Bisceglie is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Avellino in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bisceglie could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Avellino is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bisceglie won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Bisceglie won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bisceglie Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
31.01.21	Cavese - Bisceglie	3:1 ✺
24.01.21	Bisceglie - Foggia	0:0 ✺
20.01.21	Bisceglie - Casertana	0:1 ✺
17.01.21	Bisceglie - Bari	0:1 ✺
10.01.21	Vibonese - Bisceglie	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLLT
- US Avellino
Italian Serie C Group C
31.01.21	Avellino - Viterbese	3:0 ✺
24.01.21	Turris - Avellino	0:2 ✺
16.01.21	Avellino - Cavese	1:0 ✺
09.01.21	Teramo - Avellino	1:1 ✺
23.12.20	Avellino - Vibonese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
09.12.20	Avellino - Bisceglie	4:2
02.02.20	Bisceglie - Avellino	1:1
22.09.19	Avellino - Bisceglie	0:1

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