Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 23

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi (Avellino)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Max


	Avellino		Cavese

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.7	5.5
	1.53	3.4	5
	1.56	3.77	6.23	Watch
	1.55	3.6	5.8
	1.53	3.7	5.72	Watch
	1.53	3.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.54)	3.6 ↑ (3.49)	5.54 ↑ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avellino
58.7%

Draw
25.1%

Cavese
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

25.5%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

24.9%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Cavese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Avellino - Cavese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iannarilli A. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 5. Rigione M. 54. Enrici P. 38. Frascatore P. 4. De Cristofaro A. 6. Palmiero L. 24. Sounas D. 91. Panico G. 9. Patierno C. 57. Campanile A.	12. Boffelli V. (G) 25. Peretti M. 18. Piana L. 23. Saio P. 34. Rizzo A. 8. Konate A. 4. Sannipoli D. 3. Vitale G. 28. Marchisano M. 7. Sorrentino D. 10. Fella G.
Substitutes
21. Armellino M. 26. Cionek T. 35. Gori G. 22. Guarnieri M. (G) 60. Llano Massa M. T. 79. Manzi C. 77. Marson L. (G) 11. Redan D. 8. Rocca M. 10. Russo R. 2. Todisco G.	77. Badje I. 2. Barba B. 99. Barone M. 32. Citarella F. 19. Diarrassouba A. 20. Diop A. 22. Di Somma G. (G) 1. Lamberti D. (G) 27. Loreto C. 11. Maffei M. 17. Marranzino P. 16. Pezzella S. 24. Vigliotti G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Piana L. 🟨,
14', Fella G. 🟨,
17', Panico G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Campanile A. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Patierno C. ⚽,
50', 2 - 0, Russo R. ⚽,
58', Rizzo A. ↓, Loreto C. ↑,
59', Peretti M. ↓, Diarrassouba A. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Fella G. ⚽,
74', Panico G. ↓, Redan D. ↑,
75', Sannipoli D. 🟨,
81', Cancellotti T. 🟨,
81', Vitale G. 🟨,
82', Sannipoli D. ↓, Diop A. ↑,
82', Patierno C. ↓, Gori G. ↑,
83', Sounas D. ↓, Rocca M. ↑,
90', Vitale G. ↓, Vigliotti G. ↑,
90', Fella G. ↓, Marranzino P. ↑,
90+1', Frascatore P. ↓, Todisco G. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Avellino won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Avellino have a series of guest games.

In this match Avellino is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Avellino won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 0.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Avellino won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avellino
Italian Serie C Group C
13.01.25	Audace Cerignola - Avellino	1:1 ✺
05.01.25	Giugliano - Avellino	1:1 ✺
22.12.24	Avellino - Picerno	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
18.12.24	Giana Erminio - Avellino	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
13.12.24	Altamura - Avellino	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTWLW
- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
13.01.25	Cavese - Giugliano	1:0 ✺
04.01.25	Crotone - Cavese	1:1 ✺
20.12.24	Cavese - Benevento	1:2 ✺
14.12.24	Sorrento - Cavese	1:3 ✺
08.12.24	Cavese - Juventus U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
15.09.24	Cavese - Avellino	1:1
02.05.21	Cavese - Avellino	1:1
16.01.21	Avellino - Cavese	1:0
16.02.20	Avellino - Cavese	0:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
06.11.19	Avellino - Cavese	2:1
Italian Serie C Group C
29.09.19	Cavese - Avellino	2:0

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