Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 16

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Bishops Stortford		Buxton

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.75	1.83
	3.7	3.4	1.8
	4	3.6	1.8	Watch
	3.99	3.56	1.87
	3.99	3.56	1.88
	3.8	3.6	1.75
	3.94	3.64	1.81
	3.6	3.5	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.05)	3.58 ↑ (3.4)	1.83 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bishops Stortford
24%

Draw
25.7%

Buxton
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

26.9%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

26.1%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bishops Stortford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bishops Stortford's form might have worsened.

Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Buxton's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bishops Stortford than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bishops Stortford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buxton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bishops Stortford - Buxton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Bishops Stortford has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Buxton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Buxton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Buxton is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Buxton to win the game is with odds 1.78.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bishops Stortford
English National League North
28.10.23	Scunthorpe United - Bishops Stortford	6:1 ✺
24.10.23	King`s Lynn Town - Bishops Stortford	3:2 ✺
21.10.23	Bishops Stortford - Warrington Town	1:4 ✺
14.10.23	Blyth Spartans - Bishops Stortford	3:0 ✺
07.10.23	Bishops Stortford - Southport	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Buxton FC
English National League North
31.10.23	Buxton - Tamworth	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Buxton - Rushall Olympic	2:2 ✺
24.10.23	Buxton - Peterborough Sports	2:2 ✺
21.10.23	Scarborough Athletic - Buxton	1:0 ✺
07.10.23	King`s Lynn Town - Buxton	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTTLW

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