Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 13

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Bishops Stortford		Warrington Town

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.15
	2.95	3.1	2.15
	3.1	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.33	3.32	2.16
	3.34	3.29	2.17
	3.1	3.4	2.05
	3.28	3.34	2.1
	3.05	3.25	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.11)	3.3 ↓ (3.4)	2.14 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bishops Stortford
29.2%

Draw
27.8%

Warrington Town
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

26.8%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

26%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bishops Stortford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bishops Stortford's form might have worsened.

Warrington Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Warrington Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bishops Stortford than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bishops Stortford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Warrington Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bishops Stortford - Warrington Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Bishops Stortford is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Warrington is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Warrington will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bishops Stortford
English National League North
14.10.23	Blyth Spartans - Bishops Stortford	3:0 ✺
07.10.23	Bishops Stortford - Southport	2:3 ✺
23.09.23	Hereford - Bishops Stortford	1:0 ✺
09.09.23	Bishops Stortford - Darlington	1:0 ✺
05.09.23	Bishops Stortford - Rushall Olympic	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- Warrington Town
English National League North
14.10.23	Warrington Town - South Shields	2:2 ✺
07.10.23	Alfreton Town - Warrington Town	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Warrington Town - King`s Lynn Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
16.09.23	Warrington Town - Curzon Ashton	2:3 ✺
English National League North
09.09.23	Banbury United - Warrington Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TTWLL

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