Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 23

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stavollen kunstgress (Bergen) 🌤️ ...


	Bjarg		Notodden

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	6.00
	1.40	4.40	5.75
	1.37	5.54	6.20
	1.44	5.1	5.5	Watch
	1.28	5.90	7.05
	1.42	5.01	6.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 (1.38)	5.12 ↑ (4.4)	6.1 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bjarg
66.9%

Draw
18%

Notodden
15.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.5%

20.2%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

18.9%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bjarg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Notodden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bjarg than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notodden than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Bjarg - Notodden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mossestad P. (G) 14. Aanonsen S. 18. Ahlander A. 11. Brattreit E. 22. Christophersen M. 9. Eiane M. 6. Halset V. 7. Hopsdal S. 13. Hopsdal S. (C) 8. Jorgensen J. 29. Stephensen K.	1. Solas S. O. (G) 20. Bjerkan B. 7. Galta J. 2. Gunnerod J. 4. Hammerli J. (C) 8. Jorgensen S. 6. Larsen S. 9. Leandersson E. 22. Nordbo T. 23. Ryste A. 27. Wenneberg M.
Substitutes
4. Ahmer M. 17. Ali Alzubi M. 16. Fromreide Aasbo E. 15. Hanssen A. 24. Iversen E. R. (G) 5. Mildestveit H. 2. Steensen T. 19. Stronstad-Loseth S. 10. Tufta D.	5. Ahmed M. 14. Foss-Erstad T. 10. Pettersen A. 15. Rasberg S. 31. Straand S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Eiane M. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Jorgensen J. ⚽,
39', 2 - 1, ⚽,
43', 3 - 1, Jorgensen J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
61', Brattreit E. ↓, Mildestveit H. ↑,
66', 4 - 1, Eiane M. ⚽,
69', Nordbo T. ↓, Rasberg S. ↑,
71', 5 - 1, Jorgensen J. ⚽,
73', Solas S. O. 🟨,
73', Jorgensen J. ↓, Steensen T. ↑,
73', Hopsdal S. ↓, Tufta D. ↑,
73', Christophersen M. ↓, Ali Alzubi M. ↑,
75', Wenneberg M. ↓, Foss-Erstad T. ↑,
77', 5 - 2, Leandersson E. ⚽,
78', Mildestveit H. 🟨,
78', Eiane M. ↓, Fromreide Aasbo E. ↑,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 3rd and 6th).

Bjarg is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Notodden has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Bjarg may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bjarg enters as the overwhelming favorite.

Our forecast points to a victory for Bjarg in today's match, at odds of 1.36.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Bjarg has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bjarg	25	17	2	6	60:31	29	53
6	Notodden	25	10	5	10	38:34	4	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IL Bjarg
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
03.10.26	Kvik Halden - Bjarg	2:3 ✺
27.09.26	Eik-Tønsberg - Bjarg	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Bjarg - Træff	6:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Bjarg - Bryne	1:4 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
12.09.26	Vidar - Bjarg	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLW
- Notodden
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
03.10.26	Notodden - Eik-Tønsberg	1:3 ✺
26.09.26	Jerv - Notodden	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Notodden - Arendal	4:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Notodden - Odd	2:3 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
13.09.26	Træff - Notodden	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
25.04.26	Notodden - Bjarg	0:1

Bjarg - Notodden