Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Bloomfield Road (Blackpool)

Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	Vidio
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Blackpool		Sheffield Wednesday

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.5	Watch
	2.65	3.5	2.55
	2.85	3.5	2.5	Watch
	2.8	3.47	2.58
	2.7	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.5
	2.73	3.56	2.47	Watch
	2.85	3.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.1)	3.48 ↓ (3.5)	2.51 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blackpool
34.6%

Draw
27.4%

Sheffield Wednesday
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

26.9%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

27.7%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Sheffield Wednesday has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blackpool that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sheffield Wednesday could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Blackpool - Sheffield Wednesday Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Blackpool will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Sheff Wed will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Blackpool: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. O'Donnell R. (G) 5. Pennington M. 20. Casey O. 26. Ashworth Z. 15. Coulson H. 14. Embleton E. 8. Morgan A. 10. Carey S. 23. Thompson D. 16. Rhodes J. 18. Beesley J.	47. Charles P. (G) 14. Valentin P. 33. Otegbayo G. 5. Bernard D. 3. Lowe M. 13. Paterson C. 8. Ingelsson S. 30. Fusire S. 45. Musaba A. 9. Lowe J. 24. Smith M.
Substitutes
25. Apter R. 19. Ballard D. 28. Finnigan R. 22. Hamilton C. 3. Husband J. 9. Joseph K. 42. Knight S. 4. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 30. Tyrer H. (G)	10. Bannan B. 1. Beadle J. (G) 23. Famewo A. 41. Gassama D. 18. Johnson M. 17. McNeill C. 2. Palmer L. 12. Ugbo I. 27. Valery Y.
Coaches
Bruce S.	Rohl D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Musaba A. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Bernard D. ⚽, Smith M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Musaba A. ↓, Gassama D. ↑,
58', Otegbayo G. ↓, Famewo A. ↑,
62', Thompson D. ↓, Hamilton C. ↑,
62', Coulson H. ↓, Lawrence-Gabriel J. ↑,
63', Beesley J. 🟨,
68', Morgan A. 🟨,
68', Lowe J. ↓, McNeill C. ↑,
73', Embleton E. ↓, Apter R. ↑,
73', Beesley J. ↓, Joseph K. ↑,
73', Morgan A. ↓, Finnigan R. ↑,
75', Valentin P. 🟨,
76', Ingelsson S. ↓, Bannan B. ↑,
76', Fusire S. ↓, Palmer L. ↑,
88', Charles P. 🟨,
90+1', Gassama D. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Blackpool won 1.

Blackpool is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sheff Wed is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sheff Wed could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Blackpool won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Blackpool won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blackpool
English League One
14.09.24	Blackpool - Exeter City	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
03.09.24	Blackpool - Crewe Alexandra	4:1 ✺
English League One
31.08.24	Blackpool - Wycombe Wanderers	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.24	Blackburn Rovers - Blackpool	1:2 ✺
English League One
24.08.24	Cambridge United - Blackpool	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWTWT
- Sheffield Wednesday
English League Championship
14.09.24	Sheffield Wednesday - Queens Park Rangers	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Millwall - Sheffield Wednesday	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.24	Grimsby Town - Sheffield Wednesday	1:5 ✺
English League Championship
23.08.24	Sheffield Wednesday - Leeds United	0:2 ✺
18.08.24	Sunderland - Sheffield Wednesday	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
07.03.15	Blackpool - Sheffield Wednesday	0:1
26.12.14	Sheffield Wednesday - Blackpool	1:0
01.01.14	Sheffield Wednesday - Blackpool	2:0
30.11.13	Blackpool - Sheffield Wednesday	2:0
16.04.13	Blackpool - Sheffield Wednesday	0:0
06.11.12	Sheffield Wednesday - Blackpool	0:2
English FA Cup
07.02.12	Sheffield Wednesday - Blackpool	N/A

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