Match Info

League One - Round 41

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Bloomfield Road (Blackpool)

Referee: Smith L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Blackpool		Exeter City

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.6	4	Watch
	1.85	3.55	3.95	Watch
	1.92	3.77	4.1
	1.92	3.7	3.65	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.8
	1.85	3.6	4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.17)	3.6 ↑ (3.5)	3.92 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blackpool
50.1%

Draw
26%

Exeter City
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

26.7%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

26.2%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Blackpool's performance.

Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Exeter City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blackpool that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Exeter City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Blackpool - Exeter City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Blackpool (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Blackpool (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Blackpool (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Blackpool will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Blackpool (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 5. Horsfall F. 3. Husband J. 15. Coulson H. 6. Brown J. 24. Walters R. 10. Honeyman G. (C) 17. Randall J. 22. Hamilton C. 14. Bloxham T. 11. Fletcher A.	23. Bycroft J. (G) 26. Sweeney P. (C) 15. Yfeko J. 20. Woodhouse L. 2. McMillan J. 45. Cummins C. 29. McDonald K. 14. Niskanen I. 10. Aitchison J. 7. Mendes C. 9. Wareham J.
Substitutes
23. Anderson K. 26. Ashworth Z. 4. Casey O. 7. Clarkson L. 9. Ennis N. 25. Ravizzoli F. (G) 18. Taylor D.	21. Andrew D. 12. Cole R. 17. Higgins A. 27. Magennis J. 32. Phillips F. (G) 3. Rydel R. 28. Tuterov T.
Coaches
Evatt I.	Taylor M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Bloxham T. ⚽, Walters R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yfeko J. ↓, Andrew D. ↑,
61', McDonald K. ↓, Cole R. ↑,
61', Mendes C. ↓, Tuterov T. ↑,
61', Randall J. ↓, Clarkson L. ↑,
61', Bloxham T. ↓, Ennis N. ↑,
72', Honeyman G. 🟨,
73', Cummins C. ↓, Magennis J. ↑,
74', Fletcher A. ↓, Taylor D. ↑,
74', Honeyman G. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
80', Niskanen I. 🟨,
87', Aitchison J. ↓, Higgins A. ↑,
90', Hamilton C. ↓, Casey O. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blackpool won 3.

Blackpool has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Exeter has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Blackpool is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Blackpool: Finnigan R. (Ankle Injury) Grant K. (Ankle Injury) Lyons A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Morgan A. (Calf Injury) Obafemi M. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Exeter: Borges P. (Knee Injury) Doyle-Hayes J. (Injury) Fitzwater J. (Inactive) Turns E. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Exeter: Tuterov T. (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Blackpool won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:11. (average 1.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Blackpool won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).

Outrights of English League One for now

Blackpool: 0.72%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Blackpool	8	2	2	4	13:14	-1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Exeter City - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 30.31%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blackpool
English League One
28.03.26	Blackpool - Burton Albion	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Cardiff City - Blackpool	0:0 ✺
17.03.26	Blackpool - Port Vale	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Doncaster Rovers - Blackpool	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	AFC Wimbledon - Blackpool	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTWLL
- Exeter City
English League One
28.03.26	Exeter City - Leyton Orient	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Wigan Athletic - Exeter City	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Luton Town - Exeter City	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Exeter City - Cardiff City	0:4 ✺
10.03.26	Exeter City - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
09.08.25	Exeter City - Blackpool	4:1
25.01.25	Exeter City - Blackpool	1:3
14.09.24	Blackpool - Exeter City	2:1
13.01.24	Blackpool - Exeter City	2:0
12.08.23	Exeter City - Blackpool	0:0
English FA Cup
10.11.18	Exeter City - Blackpool	2:3
English League Two
28.05.17	Blackpool - Exeter City	2:1

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