Match Info

BOLIVIA: DIVISION PROFESIONAL - ROUND 16

Date: 3 June 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas (Santa Cruz)

Referee: Justiniano J. (Bol)


	Blooming		Vaca Díez

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.49	4.2	4.8
	1.5	4.2	5
	1.51	4.36	5.38
	1.5	4	5.25
	1.52	4.5	5.55	Watch
	1.51	4.4	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.69)	4.27 ↑ (3.63)	5.41 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blooming
61.3%

Draw
21.6%

Vaca Díez
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

24.9%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

26%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blooming has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Blooming's performance.

Vaca Díez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blooming than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blooming that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaca Díez than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Blooming - Vaca Díez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Uraezana B. (G) 24. Becerra M. A. 22. Gomez Miranda R. 2. Justiniano G. 4. Duran D. 6. Spenhay R. 27. Siles O. 16. Arismendi F. 15. Rafinha (C) 77. Arce J. 38. Sinisterra J.	1. Rodriguez E. (G) 14. Fernandez J. 4. Mizael Monteiro 26. Cruz D. 21. Roca D. 5. Morales R. 10. Parada F. 7. Cuadros D. 8. Taborga P. (C) 11. Randerson Fininho 16. Briceno J.
Substitutes
32. Bazan G. 25. Cuellar Orti R. 17. Ferrufino J. 7. Garzon S. 34. Gutierrez J. (G) 21. Leo Fenga 11. Menacho C. 20. Rodriguez F. 39. Severiche S. 30. Villamil J.	6. Borobobo V. 15. Crecencio L. 25. Ibaguary A. 23. Moura D. 22. Paredes M. 13. Pena I. (G) 17. Rodriguez D.
Coaches
Bustos C.	Fonseca C.

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 11).

Blooming is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vaca Díez is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Blooming could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Blooming is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blooming Santa Cruz
Bolivian Division Profesional
27.05.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Blooming	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
24.05.23	Blooming - Newells Old Boys	2:3 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
21.05.23	Blooming - Aurora	2:1 ✺
07.05.23	Oriente Petrolero - Blooming	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.05.23	Audax Italiano - Blooming	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWTL
- Club Vaca Díez
Bolivian Division Profesional
29.05.23	Vaca Díez - Oriente Petrolero	3:1 ✺
20.05.23	The Strongest - Vaca Díez	4:1 ✺
13.05.23	Vaca Díez - Royal Pari	1:1 ✺
10.05.23	Vaca Díez - Always Ready	1:1 ✺
05.05.23	Guabirá - Vaca Díez	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLTTT

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