Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 24 May 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas (Santa Cruz)

Referee: Betancur C. A. (Col)


	Blooming		Newells Old Boys

	1	X	2
	6.5	4	1.53	Watch
	6.5	3.9	1.51
	6.4	4	1.52
	7.09	4.12	1.5
	6.5	3.7	1.47
	6.65	4.1	1.5	Watch
	6.6	4.1	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.61 ↑ (4.82)	3.99 ↑ (3.63)	1.5 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blooming
14.2%

Draw
23.4%

Newells Old Boys
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

25.5%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

25.6%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blooming has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Newells Old Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newells Old Boys's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blooming than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blooming, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newells Old Boys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Blooming - Newells Old Boys Predictions

Users Predictions: Newells Old Boys will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Newell's Old Boys could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Newell's Old Boys is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Blooming won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blooming Santa Cruz
Bolivian Division Profesional
21.05.23	Blooming - Aurora	2:1 ✺
07.05.23	Oriente Petrolero - Blooming	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.05.23	Audax Italiano - Blooming	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
28.04.23	Blooming - The Strongest	1:3 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
25.04.23	Always Ready - Blooming	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WTLLT
- Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.05.23	Lanús - Newells Old Boys	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	Newells Old Boys - Arsenal Sarandí	2:0 ✺
07.05.23	Tigre - Newells Old Boys	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.05.23	Newells Old Boys - Santos	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.04.23	Newells Old Boys - Argentinos Juniors	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
18.04.23	Newells Old Boys - Blooming	3:0

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