Match Info

BOLIVIA: DIVISION PROFESIONAL - ROUND 15

Date: 29 May 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Roberto Jordán Cuéllar (Cobija)

Referee: Aleman J. (Bol)


	Vaca Díez		Oriente Petrolero

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.25	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3
	2.1	3.4	3
	2.14	3.55	3.17
	2.05	3.25	3.2
	2.1	3.55	3.3	Watch
	2.2	3.35	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.02)	3.39 ↑ (3.33)	3.14 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vaca Díez
43.4%

Draw
27.2%

Oriente Petrolero
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27.2%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

26.5%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vaca Díez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Oriente Petrolero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaca Díez than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Vaca Díez - Oriente Petrolero Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Vaca Díez will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez E. (G) 8. Taborga P. 4. Mizael Monteiro 26. Cruz D. 14. Fernandez J. 21. Roca D. 7. Cuadros D. 6. Borobobo V. (C) 5. Morales R. 11. Randerson Fininho 29. Vogliotti J.	1. Quinonez W. (C) 27. Alvarez S. 6. Rojas D. 34. Vargas F. 32. Paz A. 19. Sanchez E. 14. Mercado Galvez J. S. 8. Alvarez C. 37. Cristaldo J. 25. Villagra L. 21. Sanchez H.
Substitutes
16. Briceno J. 15. Crecencio L. 19. Escalante J. 2. Esterilla M. 25. Ibaguary A. 23. Moura D. 10. Parada F. 22. Paredes M. 13. Pena I. (G) 17. Rodriguez D. 27. Rodriguez M. 31. Roman R.	29. Ampuero A. 7. Arabe C. 33. Menacho R. 45. Pena A. 31. Saavedra A. 16. Sandoval R. 22. Valdivia D. (G) 35. Vargas J. 17. Zeballos L.
Coaches
Fonseca C.	Hoyos G.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 15).

Recent matches Vaca Díez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oriente Petrolero is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Oriente Petrolero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Vaca Díez will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Vaca Díez
Bolivian Division Profesional
20.05.23	The Strongest - Vaca Díez	4:1 ✺
13.05.23	Vaca Díez - Royal Pari	1:1 ✺
10.05.23	Vaca Díez - Always Ready	1:1 ✺
05.05.23	Guabirá - Vaca Díez	2:2 ✺
30.04.23	Vaca Díez - Real Santa Cruz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LTTTW
- Oriente Petrolero
Copa Sudamericana
25.05.23	Oriente Petrolero - Red Bull Bragantino	0:4 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
17.05.23	Libertad Gran Mamoré - Oriente Petrolero	4:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
14.05.23	Aurora - Oriente Petrolero	2:2 ✺
10.05.23	Oriente Petrolero - Real Santa Cruz	0:1 ✺
07.05.23	Oriente Petrolero - Blooming	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLTLT

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