Match Info

BOLIVIA: DIVISION PROFESIONAL - ROUND 23

Date: 14 August 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas (Santa Cruz)


	Blooming		Vinto Atlético Palmaflor

	1	X	2
	1.3	6.5	7.5	Watch
	1.26	5.25	8.25
	1.28	6	8
	1.23	5.49	8.89
	1.27	5.6	10.75	Watch
	1.27	5.6	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.52)	5.74 ↑ (4.1)	8.77 ↑ (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blooming
73.2%

Draw
16.2%

Vinto Atlético Palmaflor
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

22.4%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

21.9%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blooming has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Blooming's performance.

Vinto Atlético Palmaflor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vinto Atlético Palmaflor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blooming than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blooming that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinto Atlético Palmaflor than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vinto Atlético Palmaflor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.5%	0%	4.5%

Blooming - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor Predictions

Users Predictions: Blooming will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Uraezana B. (G) 26. Romero C. 43. Lacerda J. 30. Villamil J. 39. Severiche S. 27. Siles O. 9. Rodriguez G. 45. Figuera A. 77. Arce J. 16. Arismendi F. 32. Centella G.	22. Rojas J. (G) 20. Baldomar O. 31. Coronel R. 16. Montero R. 15. Alcocer P. 33. Huasna N. 14. Vargas J. 8. Lima R. 66. Spenhay R. 13. Luna F. 23. Orihuela R.
Substitutes
24. Becerra M. A. 20. Buceta D. 31. Cabrera A. 25. Cuellar Orti R. 7. Garzon S. 34. Gutierrez J. (G) 2. Justiniano G. 14. Lujan P. 11. Menacho C. 38. Sinisterra J.	38. Ayala Nava A. E. 2. Fernandez K. 40. Garcia E. 18. Garzon M. 11. Hurtado Badani L. E. 1. Mamani R. (G) 21. Ortiz M. 34. Rodriguez B. 4. Rodriguez L. 35. Saavedra J.
Coaches
Bustos C.	Brizuela C.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Blooming won 2.

Recent matches Blooming is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Palmaflor has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Blooming could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Blooming have a series of guest games.

In this match Blooming is indisputable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Blooming won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Blooming won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blooming Santa Cruz
Bolivian Copa Pacena
08.08.23	Vaca Díez - Blooming	0:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
04.08.23	Bolívar - Blooming	6:1 ✺
30.07.23	Blooming - Independiente Petroleros	1:0 ✺
24.07.23	Universitario de Vinto - Blooming	1:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
19.07.23	Nacional Potosí - Blooming	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.1 WLWLW
- Vinto Atlético Palmaflor
Bolivian Division Profesional
05.08.23	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Oriente Petrolero	1:2 ✺
29.07.23	The Strongest - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	4:0 ✺
23.07.23	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Royal Pari	2:2 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
19.07.23	Guabirá - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	1:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
15.07.23	Guabirá - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
13.03.23	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Blooming	3:2
Copa Sudamericana
09.03.23	Blooming - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	6:0
Bolivian Division Profesional
20.10.22	Blooming - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	1:0
10.08.22	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Blooming	2:1
27.11.21	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Blooming	3:0
30.07.21	Blooming - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	1:1
14.12.20	Blooming - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	3:1

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