Match Info

BOLIVIA: DIVISION PROFESIONAL - ROUND 22

Date: 5 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Quillacollo Stadium (Quillacollo)

Referee: Perez S. (Bol)


	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor		Oriente Petrolero

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	3.3	Watch
	2	3.25	3.1
	2.15	3.35	3.2
	2.07	3.41	3.49
	2.1	3.55	3.3	Watch
	1.96	3.7	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.03)	3.48 ↑ (3.36)	3.29 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vinto Atlético Palmaflor
44.9%

Draw
26.8%

Oriente Petrolero
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

27.4%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

27.3%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vinto Atlético Palmaflor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Oriente Petrolero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinto Atlético Palmaflor than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	7.1%	14.3%

Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Oriente Petrolero Predictions

Users Predictions: Vinto Atlético Palmaflor will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Adorno C. (G) 20. Baldomar O. 31. Coronel R. 16. Montero R. 21. Ortiz M. 33. Huasna N. 13. Luna F. 66. Spenhay R. 14. Vargas J. 6. Serrano M. 23. Orihuela R.	1. Quinonez W. (G) 2. Rodriguez E. 4. Flores J. 23. Gutierrez L. 3. Soleto W. 14. Mercado Galvez J. S. 6. Rojas D. 8. Alvarez C. 10. Dorrego H. 33. Menacho R. 99. Riquelme M. D.
Substitutes
15. Alcocer P. 19. Alvarez G. 7. Canete J. 2. Fernandez K. 28. Guerra J. 11. Hurtado Badani L. E. 8. Lima R. 44. Mina Meza A. R. 10. Pisano M. 4. Rodriguez L. 22. Rojas J. (G) 35. Saavedra J.	11. Castillo J. 37. Cristaldo J. 13. Garcia C. 24. Guzman S. 36. Reyes J. 77. Rojas J. 19. Sanchez E. 21. Sandoval R. 38. Sandoval S. 22. Valdivia D. (G) 35. Vargas J.
Coaches
Brizuela C.	Puche Vicente A.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Palmaflor won 2.

Palmaflor is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Oriente Petrolero is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Palmaflor will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Palmaflor won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Palmaflor won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vinto Atlético Palmaflor
Bolivian Division Profesional
29.07.23	The Strongest - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	4:0 ✺
23.07.23	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Royal Pari	2:2 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
19.07.23	Guabirá - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	1:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
15.07.23	Guabirá - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	1:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
10.07.23	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Real Santa Cruz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLT
- Oriente Petrolero
Bolivian Division Profesional
29.07.23	Oriente Petrolero - Bolívar	1:1 ✺
24.07.23	Independiente Petroleros - Oriente Petrolero	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
20.07.23	Oriente Petrolero - Royal Pari	2:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
17.07.23	Oriente Petrolero - Universitario de Vinto	1:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
13.07.23	Jorge Wilstermann - Oriente Petrolero	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
03.03.23	Oriente Petrolero - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	1:2
16.10.22	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Oriente Petrolero	2:2
05.08.22	Oriente Petrolero - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	0:0
01.05.22	Oriente Petrolero - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	2:1
26.02.22	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Oriente Petrolero	2:1
19.09.21	Oriente Petrolero - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	3:0
10.04.21	Vinto Atlético Palmaflor - Oriente Petrolero	2:1

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