Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 5

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles (Cochabamba)

Referee: Condori C. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Entel Gol 56


	Universitario de Vinto		Blooming

	1	X	2
	1.81	4	3.6	Watch
	1.78	3.7	3.4
	1.9	3.7	3.4	Watch
	1.88	3.89	3.67
	1.88	4.05	3.51	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.4
	1.83	3.72	3.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.82)	3.78 ↓ (3.98)	3.5 ↓ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitario de Vinto
49.6%

Draw
24.2%

Blooming
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

23.4%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

22.7%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Vinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Blooming has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Vinto than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blooming than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Universitario de Vinto - Blooming Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Poveda B. (G) 10. Torrico J. 17. Torrico D. 34. Jara A. (C) 30. Cuadiay Fernandez M. 21. Cuellar G. 24. Rodriguez H. 8. Camacho Almanza D. A. 7. Dorrego H. 22. Calicho J. 9. Llano R.	71. Almada G. (G) 44. Enoumba M. 22. Vila J. 17. Gimenez D. 7. Villarroel M. 8. Villarroel M. (C) 11. Menacho C. 19. Abisab M. 33. Oliveros A. 75. Ocampo M. 9. Vasquez A.
Substitutes
5. Alcocer P. 66. Cuestas A. 77. Garcia P. (G) 15. Gil F. 6. Gomez M. 28. Jose Pinto 70. Lazarte J. 4. Lopez B. 90. Saavedra D. 29. Saucedo J. 23. Straccia E. F. 20. Valencia J.	28. Alvarez E. 2. Cabral M. 13. Camacho J. (G) 55. Carrasco J. 88. Centella G. 23. Chura J. 70. Esdras Mendoza 20. Loza P. 25. Melgar R. 14. Mercado Galvez J. S. 5. Severiche S.
Coaches
Straccia M.	Soria M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Vasquez A. ⚽, Oliveros A. (A),
13', Dorrego H. 🟨,
34', Cuellar G. 🟨,
45+2', Vila J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Villarroel M. ↓, Esdras Mendoza ↑,
46', Gimenez D. ↓, Carrasco J. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Enoumba M. (Own goal),
58', Vasquez A. ↓, Chura J. ↑,
58', Oliveros A. ↓, Centella G. ↑,
71', Dorrego H. ↓, Alcocer P. ↑,
80', Calicho J. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
82', Cuadiay Fernandez M. 🟨,
85', Jara A. 🟨,
87', Menacho C. ↓, Mercado Galvez J. S. ↑,
89', Rodriguez H. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
89', Cuellar G. ↓, Jose Pinto ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 0.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Blooming may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Blooming has had a series of away games.

In this match, Uni de Vinto is considered a favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Uni de Vinto won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Vinto won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Blooming	20	6	9	5	30:22	8	27
14	Universitario de Vinto	20	5	3	12	26:39	-13	18

Last Results with these Odds

Universitario de Vinto - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.27%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universitario de Vinto
Bolivian Division Profesional
24.04.26	Independiente Petroleros - Universitario de Vinto	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Universitario de Vinto - ABB	5:2 ✺
11.04.26	Nacional Potosí - Universitario de Vinto	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Universitario de Vinto - The Strongest	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.03.26	Universitario de Vinto - Real Oruro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLT
- Blooming Santa Cruz
Copa Sudamericana
30.04.26	Carabobo - Blooming	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
25.04.26	ABB - Blooming	3:2 ✺
22.04.26	Blooming - Nacional Potosí	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
16.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Blooming	3:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
12.04.26	Real Oruro - Blooming	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Copa Pacena
16.11.25	Blooming - Universitario de Vinto	3:1
13.11.25	Universitario de Vinto - Blooming	0:0
Bolivian Division Profesional
24.08.25	Blooming - Universitario de Vinto	1:0
12.04.25	Universitario de Vinto - Blooming	1:2
26.11.24	Blooming - Universitario de Vinto	1:0
01.08.24	Universitario de Vinto - Blooming	1:0
Bolivian Copa Pacena
28.10.23	Universitario de Vinto - Blooming	2:1

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