Match Info
Catarinense 2 - Round 14Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday
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Blumenau |
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Hercílio Luz |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.10 |
2.95 |
3.10 |
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2.18 |
2.88 |
2.95 |
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2.16 |
2.94 |
3.24 |
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2.18 |
3.09 |
3.23 |
 Watch |
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2.13 |
2.90 |
3.20 |
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2.22 |
2.85 |
3.46 |
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1.91 |
3.05 |
3.2 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(1.96) |
2.95 ↓
(3.1) |
3.2 ↓
(3.3) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Blumenau
41.9% | Draw
30.2% | Hercílio Luz
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blumenau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Hercílio Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blumenau than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hercílio Luz than the current prediction. (-1.5%)Blumenau - Hercílio Luz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 19', 🟥,
- 45+4', (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 67', (Penalty Awarded),
- 85', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+3', 🟥,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense).Blumenau is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).Hercílio Luz is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).Blumenau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Blumenau is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Blumenau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hercilio Luz | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 35:10 | 25 | 42 |
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| 4 | Blumenau | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 31 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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