Match Info
Copa Santa Catarina - Round 1Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday
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 |
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 |
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Hercílio Luz |
|
Metropolitano |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.70 |
3.30 |
4.40 |
|
 |
1.69 |
3.36 |
4.47 |
|
 |
1.81 |
3.33 |
4.26 |
|
 |
1.57 |
3.45 |
4.90 |
|
 |
1.72 |
3.51 |
4.65 |
|
 |
1.82 |
3.45 |
3.85 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.82) |
3.4 ↓
(3.45) |
4.42 ↑
(3.85) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hercílio Luz
52.8% | Draw
26.7% | Metropolitano
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hercílio Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Metropolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hercílio Luz than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitano than the current prediction. (+1.7%)Hercílio Luz - Metropolitano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 38', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 45+3', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 55', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 59', 4 - 1, ⚽,
- 73', 4 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Hercílio Luz has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).Metropolitano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). In this match, Hercílio Luz is considered a favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hercílio Luz won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).Including home matches between the teams, Hercílio Luz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Hercilio Luz | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 9 |
|
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| 6 | Metropolitano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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