The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Blyth Spartans 19.1%
Draw 22.5%
Gainsborough Trinity 58.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35%
26.4%
38.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.8%
26.3%
38.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blyth Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Blyth Spartans's form might have worsened.
Gainsborough Trinity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gainsborough Trinity's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blyth Spartans than the current prediction. (+15.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blyth Spartans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (-19.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gainsborough Trinity, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Blyth Spartans - Gainsborough Trinity Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Blyth will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Gainsborough will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Ridley M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 0 - 2, Howe D. ⚽,
81', 1 - 2, Hooper J. (Pen),
Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 18).
Blyth is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Gainsborough is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Gainsborough could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Gainsborough have a series of guest games.
Gainsborough will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Blyth won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:3 (average 2.5:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Blyth won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).
Last Results with these Odds
Gainsborough Trinity - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 38.69%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.