Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 33

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday


	Gainsborough Trinity		Mickleover Sports

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	3.75
	1.84	3.82	3.76
	1.73	3.6	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.65)	3.64 ↓ (3.73)	3.8 ↓ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainsborough Trinity
51.3%

Draw
24.9%

Mickleover Sports
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

24.4%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

23.1%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainsborough Trinity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Mickleover Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gainsborough Trinity, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mickleover Sports than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Gainsborough Trinity - Mickleover Sports Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gainsborough won 3.

Recent matches Gainsborough is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mickleover is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mickleover could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gainsborough is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Gainsborough won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Gainsborough won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
15.02.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Blyth Spartans	5:1 ✺
11.02.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Warrington Rylands	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Hyde United - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
01.02.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Woking	0:3 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
28.01.25	Prescot Cables - Gainsborough Trinity	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTLL
- Mickleover Sports
English NPL Premier Division
15.02.25	Mickleover Sports - Stockton Town	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Macclesfield Town - Mickleover Sports	6:1 ✺
01.02.25	Mickleover Sports - Bamber Bridge	0:1 ✺
28.01.25	Mickleover Sports - Ashton United	1:3 ✺
25.01.25	Blyth Spartans - Mickleover Sports	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
10.12.24	Mickleover Sports - Gainsborough Trinity	1:2
09.04.22	Gainsborough Trinity - Mickleover Sports	2:0
17.08.21	Mickleover Sports - Gainsborough Trinity	2:0
28.09.19	Gainsborough Trinity - Mickleover Sports	2:2
19.01.19	Mickleover Sports - Gainsborough Trinity	0:1
21.08.18	Gainsborough Trinity - Mickleover Sports	2:0

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