Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 21

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday


	Workington		Blyth Spartans

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.9	4.1
	1.6	4.1	4.4
	1.57	4.46	4.67
	1.61	4.28	4.73
	1.55	3.9	4.75
	1.68	3.95	4.51
	1.6	4.1	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.57)	4.1 ↑ (4.06)	4.51 ↓ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Workington
57.3%

Draw
22.4%

Blyth Spartans
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

22.5%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

21.9%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Workington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Blyth Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Workington than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blyth Spartans than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Workington - Blyth Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Ambrose E. ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, Grewal R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 2 - 1, Richardson M. ⚽,
71', 3 - 1, Symington D. ⚽,
78', 4 - 1, Rigg S. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Workington won 1.

Recent matches Workington is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Blyth is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Workington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Blyth have a series of home games.

In this match Workington is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Workington won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:15 (average 0.9:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Workington won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Workington
English NPL Premier Division
01.03.25	Workington - United of Manchester	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Worksop Town - Workington	4:2 ✺
15.02.25	Workington - Hyde United	1:0 ✺
11.02.25	Bamber Bridge - Workington	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Ilkeston - Workington	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWWL
- Blyth Spartans
English NPL Premier Division
01.03.25	Bamber Bridge - Blyth Spartans	5:1 ✺
22.02.25	Blyth Spartans - Ilkeston	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Blyth Spartans	5:1 ✺
08.02.25	Blyth Spartans - Leek Town	1:1 ✺
04.02.25	Blyth Spartans - Stockton Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
10.09.24	Blyth Spartans - Workington	1:0
02.01.17	Blyth Spartans - Workington	3:2
29.08.16	Workington - Blyth Spartans	0:2
26.04.16	Blyth Spartans - Workington	3:4
28.03.16	Blyth Spartans - Workington	3:0
02.02.16	Workington - Blyth Spartans	N/A
06.04.15	Workington - Blyth Spartans	1:1

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