Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 8

Date: 1 November 2022, Tuesday


	Blyth Spartans		Leamington

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.9
	2.1	3	3.3
	2.22	3.15	3
	2.38	3.23	2.93
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.29	3.2	2.9
	2.3	3.2	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.71)	3.13 ↓ (3.14)	3.01 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blyth Spartans
40.6%

Draw
29.2%

Leamington
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

29%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

28.5%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blyth Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Blyth Spartans's performance.

Leamington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leamington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blyth Spartans than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blyth Spartans that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leamington than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leamington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	62.5%	12.5%

Blyth Spartans - Leamington Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Blyth will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Leamington will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Blyth won 1.

Blyth is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Leamington is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leamington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Blyth won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Blyth won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blyth Spartans
English National League North
29.10.22	Kettering Town - Blyth Spartans	4:2 ✺
25.10.22	Blyth Spartans - Bradford Park Avenue	0:1 ✺
22.10.22	Blyth Spartans - Alfreton Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
18.10.22	Wrexham - Blyth Spartans	3:2 ✺
15.10.22	Blyth Spartans - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LLTLT
- Leamington
English National League North
29.10.22	Darlington - Leamington	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Leamington - Fylde	2:1 ✺
15.10.22	Chorley - Leamington	1:0 ✺
08.10.22	Leamington - Alfreton Town	1:2 ✺
01.10.22	Leamington - AFC Telford United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
29.01.22	Leamington - Blyth Spartans	1:0
06.11.21	Blyth Spartans - Leamington	0:2
06.02.21	Blyth Spartans - Leamington	Canceled
31.08.19	Leamington - Blyth Spartans	2:0
16.02.19	Leamington - Blyth Spartans	1:2
15.09.18	Blyth Spartans - Leamington	0:2
24.02.18	Leamington - Blyth Spartans	1:0

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