Match Info

National League North - Round 39

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Blackwell Meadows (Darlington)


	Darlington		Leamington

	1	X	2
	1.29	5	7.5
	1.3	5.15	7.7
	1.3	5.6	8.57
	1.29	5.63	8.44	Watch
	1.3	5	9
	1.32	5.4	8.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.31)	5.3 ↑ (4.93)	8.22 ↑ (7.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darlington
71.2%

Draw
17.5%

Leamington
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

18.6%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

14.9%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darlington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Leamington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Darlington that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leamington than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Darlington - Leamington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Main C. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Main C. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 8 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darlington won 2.

In recent matches, Darlington has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leamington is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Darlington is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Darlington won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Darlington won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.7:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
22	Darlington	10	2	1	7	12:21	-9	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darlington FC
English National League North
10.03.26	Darlington - Buxton	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Chester - Darlington	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Darlington - Macclesfield Town	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Darlington - Bedford Town	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Curzon Ashton - Darlington	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLWW
- Leamington
English National League North
10.03.26	Hereford - Leamington	5:1 ✺
07.03.26	Leamington - Fylde	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	AFC Telford United - Leamington	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Worksop Town - Leamington	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Leamington - Merthyr Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
18.10.25	Leamington - Darlington	0:1
18.01.25	Leamington - Darlington	2:1
24.08.24	Darlington - Leamington	1:0
18.02.23	Leamington - Darlington	2:1
29.10.22	Darlington - Leamington	1:1
02.04.22	Leamington - Darlington	0:1
23.10.21	Darlington - Leamington	1:1

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