Match Info
National League North - Round 43Date: 6 April 2026, Monday
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 |
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Leamington |
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Alfreton Town |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.75 |
3.1 |
2.3 |
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 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
2.25 |
|
 |
2.88 |
3.3 |
2.28 |
|
 |
2.82 |
3.65 |
2.39 |
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 |
2.73 |
3.61 |
2.35 |
 Watch |
 |
2.8 |
3.25 |
2.3 |
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 |
2.66 |
3.38 |
2.28 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.76 ↓
(3.58) |
3.36 ↓
(3.39) |
2.31 ↑
(1.92) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Leamington
33.1% | Draw
27.3% | Alfreton Town
39.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leamington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leamington's performance.Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alfreton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leamington than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leamington that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+4.7%)Leamington - Alfreton Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Lewthwaite T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 58', 1 - 1, Youmbi D. ⚽,
- 73', 1 - 2, Lund A. ⚽,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 21 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leamington won 0.Leamington is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Alfreton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Leamington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Leamington has had a series of home games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Leamington won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:29. (average 1.1:1.9).Including home matches between the teams, Leamington won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.6:2.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Leamington - the odds 3.58 are the expected chance of winning is 25.49%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English National League North | | | 30.12.25 | Alfreton Town - Leamington | 2:1 | | 25.03.25 | Alfreton Town - Leamington | 1:0 | | 20.08.24 | Leamington - Alfreton Town | 2:2 | | 01.04.23 | Alfreton Town - Leamington | 2:0 | | 08.10.22 | Leamington - Alfreton Town | 1:2 | | 23.04.22 | Leamington - Alfreton Town | 1:2 | | English FA Trophy | | | 27.11.21 | Leamington - Alfreton Town | 0:3 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
