Match Info

ISRAEL: LEUMIT LEAGUE - ROUND 15

Date: 16 December 2022, Friday

Location: Bloomfield Stadium (Tel-Aviv)


	Bnei Yehuda		Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

	1	X	2
	2.37	3	2.7
	2.6	2.8	2.75
	2.4	3.05	2.75
	2.5	2.83	2.95
	2.36	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.37	2.95	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2)	2.97 ↓ (3.24)	2.82 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bnei Yehuda
37.3%

Draw
30.5%

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

27.8%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

28.6%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bnei Yehuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bnei Yehuda's form might have worsened.

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bnei Yehuda than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bnei Yehuda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	33.3%	44.4%

Bnei Yehuda - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bnei Yehuda will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Maccabi Nazareth will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maccabi Nazareth: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group) and 11 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Bnei Yehuda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bnei Yehuda will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bnei Yehuda won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Bnei Yehuda won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bnei Yehuda
Israeli Liga Leumit
08.12.22	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Bnei Yehuda	0:2 ✺
11.11.22	Bnei Yehuda - Ironi Tiberias	2:3 ✺
07.11.22	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Bnei Yehuda	2:1 ✺
31.10.22	Bnei Yehuda - Agudat Sport Ashdod	2:0 ✺
24.10.22	Hapoel Acre - Bnei Yehuda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLWL
- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Israeli State Cup
12.12.22	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Tzofi Haifa	5:1 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
07.12.22	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:3 ✺
11.11.22	Maccabi Jaffa - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:2 ✺
04.11.22	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Kafr Qasim	1:0 ✺
28.10.22	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
07.03.22	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Bnei Yehuda	0:0
03.12.21	Bnei Yehuda - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:0
18.05.15	Bnei Yehuda - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	5:1
02.02.15	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Bnei Yehuda	1:6
17.10.14	Bnei Yehuda - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	4:0

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