Match Info

State Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 December 2025, Thursday


	Bnei Yehuda		Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.6	3.65	4.75
	1.84	3.46	4.13	Watch
	1.58	3.6	5.24
	1.64	3.66	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.02)	3.59 ↑ (3.25)	4.72 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bnei Yehuda
55.1%

Draw
25.5%

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

28%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

27.4%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bnei Yehuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bnei Yehuda's performance.

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bnei Yehuda than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bnei Yehuda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.3%	4.5%	18.2%

Bnei Yehuda - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Bnei Yehuda will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). M Kiryat Ata Bialik will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bnei Yehuda: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Bnei Yehuda (1.67) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - M Kiryat Ata Bialik (3.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - M Kiryat Ata Bialik (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - M Kiryat Ata Bialik (4.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bnei Yehuda will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Bnei Yehuda (votes: 8 - 61.5%). M Kiryat Ata Bialik (votes: 5 - 38.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Wadja A. ⚽,
32', Bar A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
88', 2 - 0, Dror S. ⚽,
89', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bnei Yehuda will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bnei Yehuda
Israeli Liga Leumit
19.12.25	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	1:1 ✺
15.12.25	Bnei Yehuda - Maccabi Herzliya	2:3 ✺
05.12.25	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Bnei Yehuda	2:1 ✺
01.12.25	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Hapoel Ra`anana - Bnei Yehuda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLLWT
- Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
Israeli Liga Alef North
19.12.25	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Ironi Nesher	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	MS Tira - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	1:0 ✺
04.12.25	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:3 ✺
27.11.25	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	1:3 ✺
07.11.25	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Tzeirey Um El Fahem	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWT

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