Match Info

Leumit League - Round 14

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 PLUS Israel


	Hapoel Kiryat Yam		Bnei Yehuda

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.12	3.3	2.98
	2.29	3.43	2.92
	2.23	3.58	2.92	Watch
	2.15	3.26	3.03
	2.22	3.33	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.8)	3.38 ↓ (3.39)	2.94 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Kiryat Yam
41.7%

Draw
27.1%

Bnei Yehuda
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

26.8%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

25.4%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Kiryat Yam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Kiryat Yam's form might have worsened.

Bnei Yehuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bnei Yehuda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Kiryat Yam than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Kiryat Yam, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bnei Yehuda than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bnei Yehuda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Bnei Yehuda Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Hapoel Kiryat Yam will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Bnei Yehuda will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Rohana E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 1, Atias O. ⚽,
73', 2 - 1, Putskin I. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: )).

Hapoel Kiryat Yam is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bnei Yehuda is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hapoel Kiryat Yam is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Kiryat Yam
Israeli Liga Leumit
28.11.25	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	3:2 ✺
10.11.25	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Jaffa	0:6 ✺
31.10.25	Hapoel Acre - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	0:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
28.10.25	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	2:1 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
24.10.25	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Hadera	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- Bnei Yehuda
Israeli Liga Leumit
01.12.25	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Hapoel Ra`anana - Bnei Yehuda	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Afula	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Ironi Modiin - Bnei Yehuda	3:1 ✺
20.10.25	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Bnei Yehuda	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WTLLL

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