Match Info

Carioca U20 - Taca Guanabara - Round 4

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday


	Boavista SC U20		Fluminense U20

	1	X	2
	5.3	3.75	1.52
	5.59	3.69	1.52
	4.62	3.73	1.66	Watch
	6.07	3.74	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.4 ↑ (4.1)	3.73 ↓ (3.78)	1.55 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boavista SC U20
16.9%

Draw
24.4%

Fluminense U20
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

24.1%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boavista SC U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boavista SC U20's form might have worsened.

Fluminense U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Boavista SC U20 - Fluminense U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, ⚽,
38', 🟥,
38', 🟥,
42', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Fluminense U20's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Boavista SC U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fluminense U20 is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boavista SC U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
16.08.25	Nova Iguaçu U20 - Boavista SC U20	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Boavista SC U20 - Bangu U20	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Maricá U20 - Boavista SC U20	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
04.05.25	Boavista SC U20 - Americano RJ U20	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Bangu U20 - Boavista SC U20	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLWW
- Fluminense U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
16.08.25	Fluminense U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	1:0 ✺
08.08.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - Fluminense U20	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Fluminense U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20	2:2 ✺
Brasileiro U20
23.07.25	Palmeiras U20 - Fluminense U20	3:2 ✺
17.07.25	Fluminense U20 - Corinthians U20	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLTLW

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