Carioca U20 - Taca Guanabara - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday
Vasco da Gama U20
Fluminense U20
1
X
2
1.92
3.25
3.55
1.79
3.3
3.86
1.82
3.4
4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)
1.84 ↓ (1.86)
3.32 ↑ (3.28)
3.82 ↑ (3.71)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vasco da Gama U20 49.1%
Draw 27.3%
Fluminense U20 23.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.4%
27.4%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
27.3%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Fluminense U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama U20 than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense U20 than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Vasco da Gama U20 - Fluminense U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+9', 🟥,
90+9', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco U20 won 2.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Fluminense U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Vasco U20 is considered a favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Vasco U20 won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Vasco U20 won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).
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