Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 19

Date: 23 July 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV


	Palmeiras U20		Fluminense U20

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.6	7.25
	1.31	4.75	7.3
	1.34	5.15	8.1
	1.50	4.36	5.35	Watch
	1.36	4.5	6.5
	1.31	4.75	8
	1.41	4.25	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.39)	4.62 ↑ (4.53)	6.98 ↑ (6.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras U20
67.1%

Draw
19.8%

Fluminense U20
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

20%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

19.5%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Fluminense U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras U20 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense U20 than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Palmeiras U20 - Fluminense U20 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Fabio ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Erick Bele (Pen),
45+2', 3 - 0, Haruki R. ⚽,
45+4', Andre Lucas 🟥,
45+5', 3 - 1, Riquelme Felipe (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 🟥,
89', 3 - 2, Isaque Silva ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

Palmeiras U20 is Qualified for Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras U20 won 0.

Palmeiras U20 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fluminense U20's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fluminense U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Palmeiras U20 is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Palmeiras U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras U20 won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:9. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras U20 won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
19.07.25	Palmeiras U20 - Araçatuba FC U20	7:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
16.07.25	Atletico GO U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
12.07.25	Ituano U20 - Palmeiras U20	2:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
09.07.25	Palmeiras U20 - São Paulo U20	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
05.07.25	Palmeiras U20 - Corinthians U20	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWW
- Fluminense U20
Brasileiro U20
17.07.25	Fluminense U20 - Corinthians U20	4:1 ✺
08.07.25	Cruzeiro U20 - Fluminense U20	3:0 ✺
02.07.25	Fluminense U20 - Atletico GO U20	3:0 ✺
25.06.25	Fluminense U20 - Cuiabá U20	2:1 ✺
17.06.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - Fluminense U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
07.08.24	Fluminense U20 - Palmeiras U20	1:1
06.09.21	Fluminense U20 - Palmeiras U20	1:1
22.11.20	Palmeiras U20 - Fluminense U20	2:4
18.08.19	Fluminense U20 - Palmeiras U20	1:1
02.10.18	Palmeiras U20 - Fluminense U20	1:1
26.09.18	Fluminense U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:2
01.08.18	Palmeiras U20 - Fluminense U20	1:1

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