Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 3

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero (Cali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play


	Boca Juniors de Cali		Deportivo Cali

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	1.9	Watch
	3.7	3.1	2	Watch
	4.06	2.99	1.99
	22.42	16.94	1.04	Watch
	3.8	2.8	2
	3.94	2.91	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.89 ↑ (4.4)	5.34 ↑ (3.52)	1.82 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors de Cali
16.5%

Draw
21.2%

Deportivo Cali
62.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.6%

25.8%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

25.6%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Deportivo Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Cali's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors de Cali than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Cali, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Boca Juniors de Cali - Deportivo Cali Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Deportivo Cali will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Aguilar F. ⚽,
7', 0 - 2, Titi ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
65', 1 - 2, Urrutia P. ⚽,
69', 1 - 3, Dinenno J. ⚽,
74', 1 - 4, Dinenno J. ⚽,
80', 1 - 5, Titi ⚽,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Deportivo Cali may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Deportivo Cali is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Boca Juniors won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Cali - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 53.59%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors de Cali
Colombian Copa
12.05.26	Real Santander - Boca Juniors de Cali	0:3 ✺
08.05.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Alianza Valledupar	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera B
17.04.26	Internacional de Palmira - Boca Juniors de Cali	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Independiente Valle del Cauca	0:0 ✺
31.03.26	Atlético Cali - Boca Juniors de Cali	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTLTT
- Deportivo Cali
Colombian Copa
11.05.26	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
03.05.26	Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Cali	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Deportivo Cali - América de Cali	1:0 ✺
17.04.26	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Cali	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Deportivo Cali - Llaneros SA	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
30.05.25	Deportivo Cali - Boca Juniors de Cali	2:1

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