The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Tolima 40.4%
Draw 29.5%
Deportivo Cali 30.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.5%
28.6%
23.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.7%
28.7%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Tolima's form might have worsened.
Deportivo Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Cali's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Tolima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Cali, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Cali Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Deportivo Cali will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Marquinez L. (G) 33. Mosquera J. 71. Osorio Y. 30. Barbosa Gomez S. P. 4. Pedrozo D. 15. Nieto J. (C) 6. Trujillo C. 7. Gonzalez J. 8. Valencia E. 20. Hernandez J. 11. Valencia J.
1. Gallese P. (C) 27. Viafara F. 16. Sandoval K. 21. Quinones J. 2. Aguilar F. 3. Correa A. 39. Orozco M. 6. Pajaro R. 19. Martinez J. 23. Titi 9. Dinenno J.
Substitutes
3. Angulo J. 23. Balanta Carabali G. J. (G) 18. Florez K. 32. Guzman S. 28. Lopez E. 31. Moreno Y. 80. Rovira B. 29. Sanchez N. 9. Sandoval L. 19. Santiago J.
4. Alvarez F. 5. Cuellar G. 33. Galindo J. 8. Giraldo D. 18. Hurtado A. 77. Montoya J. 38. Rodriguez A. (G) 26. Tello J. 24. Vallecilla S.
Coaches
Gonzalez L.
Dudamel R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Valencia E. (Penalty Awarded),
17', Valencia J. 🟨,
21', Aguilar F. 🟨,
38', Osorio Y. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
38', Mosquera J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Aguilar F. ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
49', Barbosa Gomez S. P. 🟨,
53', 1 - 1, Titi (Penalty Awarded),
58', Hernandez J. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
58', Valencia J. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
58', Nieto J. ↓, Rovira B. ↑,
61', Sandoval L. 🟨,
62', Orozco M. 🟨,
68', Martinez J. ↓, Montoya J. ↑,
68', Hurtado A. ↓, Cuellar G. ↑,
68', Pajaro R. ↓, Giraldo D. ↑,
72', Barbosa Gomez S. P. ↓, Guzman S. ↑,
80', Trujillo C. 🟥,
82', Orozco M. ↓, Galindo J. ↑,
83', Galindo J. 🟨,
90+6', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
Preview
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 3.
Deportes Tolima has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Deportivo Cali is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Deportes Tolima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Deportes Tolima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.9:0.9).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Dep. Cali
13
7
4
2
20:9
11
25
8
Deportes Tolima
13
5
5
3
15:13
2
20
Last Results with these Odds
Deportes Tolima - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 47.49%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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Marquinez L. (G) 
Osorio Y. 
Gallese P. (C) 
Dinenno J. 
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