Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 1

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero (Cali)


	Boca Juniors de Cali		Alianza Valledupar

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.7	Watch
	2.45	2.82	3.05	Watch
	2.25	2.91	3.87
	2.3	2.71	3.85	Watch
	2.1	2.75	3.6
	2.14	2.99	3.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (4.06)	2.86 ↓ (3.46)	3.63 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors de Cali
41.9%

Draw
32.5%

Alianza Valledupar
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

26.3%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

25.4%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boca Juniors de Cali's performance.

Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-25.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Valledupar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors de Cali than the current prediction. (-20.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boca Juniors de Cali that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+27.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Valledupar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	44.4%	22.2%

Boca Juniors de Cali - Alianza Valledupar Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Alianza will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 0 - 1, Martinez M. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 1, Mosquera H. ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Boca Juniors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alianza might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors de Cali
Colombian Primera B
17.04.26	Internacional de Palmira - Boca Juniors de Cali	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Independiente Valle del Cauca	0:0 ✺
31.03.26	Atlético Cali - Boca Juniors de Cali	1:1 ✺
27.03.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Real Cartagena	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Patriotas - Boca Juniors de Cali	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LTTTT
- Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A
03.05.26	Alianza Valledupar - Millonarios	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Llaneros SA - Alianza Valledupar	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Alianza Valledupar - Independiente Medellín	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Inter Bogotá - Alianza Valledupar	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Deportivo Pereira - Alianza Valledupar	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTLLW

Boca Juniors de Cali - Alianza Valledupar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide