Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Mayorga Londono J. A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belarus	22:00	Sport TV
Colombia	14:00	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Russia	22:00	Viju+ Sport
Usa	15:00	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2, Fubo Latino


	Fortaleza CEIF		Deportivo Cali

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.00	2.50	Watch
	2.95	3.10	2.25
	3.45	3.15	2.18	Watch
	3.23	3.10	2.54
	3.42	3.15	2.2	Watch
	3.15	2.90	2.45
	3.07	3.07	2.56	Watch
	2.95	3.05	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (3.05)	3.07 ↓ (3.15)	2.39 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza CEIF
29.8%

Draw
30.7%

Deportivo Cali
39.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.8%

29.8%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

29.7%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Deportivo Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Cali Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barlasina W. (G) 16. Cajares J. 6. Diaz Y. 5. Medina Obando J. 15. Cuero S. 8. Navarro S. 14. Pico L. (C) 28. Vivas S. 19. Pulicastro F. 9. Herrera J. 24. Salas J.	1. Gallese P. (G) 16. Sandoval K. 12. Caldera Alvis J. C. 4. Alvarez F. 28. Velasco E. 5. Cuellar G. 15. Chaverra L. 14. Manyoma A. 21. Benedetti N. (C) 20. Bello E. 23. Titi
Substitutes
4. Cabezas E. 25. Garcia J. 13. Mejia B. 7. Montano I. 3. Ramirez D. 12. Santander C. (G) 32. Vazquez M. 10. Velasquez J. 29. Wilke T.	29. Caicedo K. 36. Correa M. 9. Dinenno J. 8. Giraldo D. 19. Martinez J. 2. Moya J. 10. Reynoso E. 38. Rodriguez A. (G) 26. Tello J.
Coaches
Arias D.	Dudamel R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', Herrera J. 🟨,
14', 0 - 1, Benedetti N. (Penalty Awarded),
18', Velasco E. 🟨,
42', Cuellar G. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Pulicastro F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sandoval K. ↓, Giraldo D. ↑,
68', Herrera J. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
70', Bello E. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
70', Benedetti N. ↓, Reynoso E. ↑,
76', Titi ↓, Dinenno J. ↑,
80', Navarro S. ↓, Mejia B. ↑,
80', Pulicastro F. ↓, Wilke T. ↑,
81', Mejia B. 🟥,
83', Salas J. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
83', Vivas S. ↓, Cabezas E. ↑,
86', Ramirez D. 🟨,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 18th and 3rd in the Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 2.

Fortaleza is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Deportivo Cali is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Fortaleza could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Deportivo Cali is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Fortaleza has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:11 (averaging 1.3:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fortaleza against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:2 goals (averaging 1.3:0.5 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Dep. Cali	16	8	6	2	24:10	14	30
19	Fortaleza	15	1	9	5	16:22	-6	12

Last Results with these Odds

Fortaleza CEIF - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.77%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A
20.10.26	Inter Bogotá - Fortaleza CEIF	2:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
11.10.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Fortaleza CEIF	3:2 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera A
08.10.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Millonarios	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	Deportivo Pasto - Fortaleza CEIF	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportes Tolima	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLTTT
- Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera A
21.10.26	Llaneros SA - Deportivo Cali	0:3 ✺
18.10.26	Deportivo Cali - Junior Barranquilla	0:0 ✺
10.10.26	Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Cali	0:0 ✺
02.10.26	Deportivo Cali - Alianza Valledupar	3:1 ✺
27.09.26	Deportivo Cali - Rionegro Águilas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
01.03.26	Deportivo Cali - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1
24.07.25	Deportivo Cali - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1
09.02.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Cali	1:0
Colombian Copa
24.09.24	Deportivo Cali - Fortaleza CEIF	4:2 penalties
17.09.24	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Cali	1:0
Colombian Primera A
29.07.24	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportivo Cali	2:1
30.01.24	Deportivo Cali - Fortaleza CEIF	2:0

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