The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Boyacá Chicó 29.7%
Draw 31.3%
Deportivo Cali 39%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.2%
28.7%
43%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.3%
27.8%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boyacá Chicó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Deportivo Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Cali could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
22.2%
44.4%
Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Cali Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Boyacá Chicó will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Deportivo Cali will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Cali: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Denis D. (C) 29. Ruiz D. 16. Mera S. 24. Banguero A. 3. Quiceno J. 11. Ramirez Raigosa D. A. 8. Salazar S. 28. Diaz J. 6. Aedo A. 18. Cabrera Y. 9. Molina J.
1. Gallese P. (C) 27. Viafara F. 2. Aguilar F. 21. Quinones J. 16. Sandoval K. 3. Correa A. 6. Pajaro R. 9. Dinenno J. 8. Giraldo D. 19. Martinez J. 23. Titi
Substitutes
17. Caicedo O. 1. Caicedo Vasquez R. A. (G) 22. Diaz Montes J. d. J. 13. Martinez Y. 7. Montano I. 20. Valencia N.
11. Aponza J. 17. Arango J. 41. Benitez M. 25. Colorado A. 18. Hurtado A. 28. Luis Orejuela 13. Quintero Y. 38. Rodriguez A. (G) 26. Tello J.
Coaches
Gomez J.
Dudamel R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Aguilar F. 🟨,
6', Molina J. 🟨,
33', Salazar S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Giraldo D. ↓, Quintero Y. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Molina J. ⚽, Cabrera Y. (A),
63', Pajaro R. ↓, Colorado A. ↑,
64', Aguilar F. ↓, Aponza J. ↑,
64', Dinenno J. ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
70', Cabrera Y. ↓, Valencia N. ↑,
73', Quintero Y. 🟨,
75', Martinez J. ↓, Arango J. ↑,
81', Titi 🟨,
81', Aponza J. 🟨,
90+3', Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↓, Caicedo O. ↑,
90+6', Mera S. ↓, Montano I. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 2.
Boyacá Chicó has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Deportivo Cali's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Boyacá Chicó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Deportivo Cali might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:27. (average 0.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Boyacá Chicó won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.8:0.8).