Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 5

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday


	Boca Unidos		Unión de Sunchales

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.5	6.25
	1.45	3.75	7
	1.43	3.74	7.17
	1.45	3.78	7.56	Watch
	1.41	3.92	7.55
	1.45	3.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.87)	3.74 ↑ (3.2)	7.09 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Unidos
62.9%

Draw
24.3%

Unión de Sunchales
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

28.4%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

27.1%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boca Unidos's performance.

Unión de Sunchales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión de Sunchales might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Unidos than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boca Unidos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión de Sunchales than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión de Sunchales could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Boca Unidos - Unión de Sunchales Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 1 - 0, Fissore M. ⚽,
82', 1 - 1, Castellano J. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Unidos
Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.08.24	Crucero del Norte - Boca Unidos	1:2 ✺
04.08.24	Boca Unidos - Juventud Antoniana	2:0 ✺
28.07.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Boca Unidos	0:0 ✺
21.07.24	Boca Unidos - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	2:1 ✺
14.07.24	General San Martín de Formosa - Boca Unidos	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.2 WWTWW
- Unión de Sunchales
Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.08.24	Unión de Sunchales - El Linqueño	0:1 ✺
04.08.24	Independiente Chivilcoy - Unión de Sunchales	4:2 ✺
28.07.24	Unión de Sunchales - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Unión de Sunchales - Crucero del Norte	5:0 ✺
14.07.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Unión de Sunchales	Union Sunchales awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLTW?

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
09.06.24	Boca Unidos - Unión de Sunchales	0:1
14.04.24	Unión de Sunchales - Boca Unidos	2:1
18.09.22	Boca Unidos - Unión de Sunchales	2:0
12.06.22	Unión de Sunchales - Boca Unidos	2:1
24.10.21	Boca Unidos - Unión de Sunchales	5:1
25.07.21	Unión de Sunchales - Boca Unidos	2:2
20.12.20	Boca Unidos - Unión de Sunchales	1:1

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