Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 4

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Resistencia)


	Sarmiento de Resistencia		Boca Unidos

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.00	3.50
	1.98	2.92	3.65
	2.07	2.87	3.57
	2.07	2.98	3.72	Watch
	2.04	2.8	3.5
	1.97	3.11	4.15
	1.9	3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.87)	2.95 ↓ (3.05)	3.68 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Resistencia
45%

Draw
30.5%

Boca Unidos
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

29.3%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

28.4%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Boca Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Resistencia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Unidos than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Sarmiento de Resistencia - Boca Unidos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez D. (G) 8. Almiron C. 6. Dominguez F. 3. Franco N. 9. Ibanez M. 10. Maidana C. 5. Martinez P. 11. Molina J. 2. Moreyra P. 7. Pared M. 4. Ulibarri G.	1. Ojeda L. (G) 9. Alfano A. 11. Fernandez K. 4. Fuyana J. 10. Gomez L. 5. Luduena L. 7. Medina A. 3. Pavon S. 8. Sanchez D. 6. Schweizer A. 2. Sigel J.
Substitutes
12. Acuna D. (G) 18. Alarcon G. 19. Arzamendia R. 14. Barlessi L. 13. Derewicki J. 16. Di Buo I. 15. Duarte D. 20. Genolet L. 17. Martinez D.	20. Benitez F. 15. Donatti A. 13. Gonzalez E. 16. Mbombaj G. 17. Mino M. 19. Piedrabuena R. 12. Quijano F. (G) 14. Ramirez L. 18. Velazco L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Alfano A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 🟨,
64', 0 - 2, Fernandez K. ⚽,
86', 🟥,
87', 🟨,
90', 0 - 3, Gonzalez E. ⚽,
90', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Boca Unidos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sarmiento is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.08.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Atlético Escobar	0:1 ✺
03.08.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Sarmiento de Resistencia	4:1 ✺
26.07.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Sol de América de Formosa	2:1 ✺
05.07.26	Boca Unidos - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLWL
- Boca Unidos
Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.08.26	Boca Unidos - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Atlético Escobar - Boca Unidos	0:3 ✺
26.07.26	Boca Unidos - Juventud Antoniana	0:3 ✺
12.07.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Boca Unidos	3:2 ✺
05.07.26	Boca Unidos - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
05.07.26	Boca Unidos - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0
03.05.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Boca Unidos	1:1
16.08.25	Boca Unidos - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:0
18.05.25	Boca Unidos - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:0
16.03.25	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Boca Unidos	2:1
28.07.24	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Boca Unidos	0:0
07.07.24	Boca Unidos - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:1

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