What is the expert prediction for Bodø Glimt vs Beşiktaş?

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Bodø Glimt vs Beşiktaş Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, December 12, 2024)

Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 12 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Aspmyra Stadion (Bodø)

Referee: Glova F. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport App
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport Austria 8
Azerbaijan	Ictimai TV
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 7
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 256
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 8
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 20, Blue Sport 20
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	TRT 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+


	Bodø Glimt		Beşiktaş

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.5	9
	1.31	5.75	9
	1.32	6	8.5
	1.33	5.89	8.6
	1.33	5.78	7.82	Watch
	1.3	5.5	9
	1.34	5.77	9.04
	1.34	5.55	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (2.15)	5.72 ↑ (3.1)	8.77 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodø Glimt
72.3%

Draw
16.8%

Beşiktaş
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

29.9%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

29.2%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodø Glimt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bodø Glimt's performance.

Beşiktaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beşiktaş might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (-28%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bodø Glimt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beşiktaş could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.1%	10.1%	5.8%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: Bodø Glimt will win (58 of 69 users predict this - 84.06%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.42% – 92.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Haikin N. (G) 20. Sjovold F. 4. Bjortuft O. L. 6. Gundersen J. 15. Bjorkan F. 26. Evjen H. 7. Berg P. (C) 14. Saltnes U. 77. Zinckernagel P. 9. Hogh K. 23. Hauge J.	30. Destanoglu E. (C) 2. Svensson J. 5. Sanuc T. T. 53. Topcu E. 22. Zaynutdinov B. 6. Al Musrati 73. Ndour C. 4. Bulut O. 83. Fernandes G. 27. Rafa Silva 9. Kilicsoy S.
Substitutes
8. Auklend S. 11. Espejord R. 19. Fet S. 21. Helmersen A. 1. Lund J. (G) 25. Maatta I. 94. Mikkelsen A. 2. Nielsen V. 30. Sorensen A. 27. Sorli S. 5. Wembangomo B. 99. Zugelj N.	44. Ay F. K. 94. Baytekin G. (G) 34. Gunok M. (G) 91. Hekimoglu M. 18. Joao Mario 77. Keles C. 19. Kilic A. 23. Muci E. 71. Onana J. 93. Ozuarap A. B. 79. Terzi E. 8. Ucan S.
Coaches
Knutsen K.	Topraktepe S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Fernandes G. ⚽, Zaynutdinov B. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Zinckernagel P. ⚽,
37', Ndour C. 🟨,
43', 2 - 1, Bjortuft O. L. ⚽, Zinckernagel P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Ndour C. ↓, Ucan S. ↑,
64', Al Musrati ↓, Muci E. ↑,
68', Ucan S. 🟨,
70', Evjen H. 🟨,
71', Evjen H. ↓, Fet S. ↑,
76', Bulut O. ↓, Hekimoglu M. ↑,
81', Hogh K. ↓, Helmersen A. ↑,
81', Zinckernagel P. ↓, Maatta I. ↑,
88', Rafa Silva ↓, Keles C. ↑,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Beşiktaş could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bodø Glimt is a favorite.

There will not play in Bodø Glimt: Bassi D. (Thigh Injury) Burakovsky S. (Injury) Skeide S. (Knee Injury) Vetti G. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Beşiktaş: Gabriel Paulista (Muscle Injury) Masuaku A. (Yellow Cards) Uduokhai F. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Beşiktaş: Uysal N. (Knee Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bodø Glimt won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Bodø Glimt won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodø Glimt
Norwegian Eliteserien
01.12.24	Bodø Glimt - Lillestrøm SK	5:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	Manchester United - Bodø Glimt	3:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
23.11.24	Odd - Bodø Glimt	0:2 ✺
10.11.24	Bodø Glimt - Fredrikstad	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	Bodø Glimt - Qarabağ Agdam	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLWTL
- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
07.12.24	Beşiktaş - Fenerbahçe	1:0 ✺
02.12.24	Hatayspor - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	Beşiktaş - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:3 ✺
Turkish Super League
24.11.24	Beşiktaş - Göztepe	2:4 ✺
10.11.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Beşiktaş	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
09.11.23	Beşiktaş - Bodø Glimt	1:2
26.10.23	Bodø Glimt - Beşiktaş	3:1

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