Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 7 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Aspmyra Stadion (Bodø)

Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Disney+, Fox Sports app


	Bodø Glimt		Qarabağ Agdam

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.33	4.33
	1.72	4.2	4.2
	1.7	4.5	4.35
	1.73	4.35	4.46
	1.69	4.39	4.35	Watch
	1.7	4.2	4.5
	1.74	4.45	4.65
	1.7	4.55	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.6)	4.37 ↑ (4.2)	4.4 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodø Glimt
56.2%

Draw
22%

Qarabağ Agdam
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

22.2%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

21.4%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodø Glimt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	9.1%	3.9%

Bodø Glimt - Qarabağ Agdam Predictions

Users Predictions: Bodø Glimt will win (67 of 76 users predict this - 88.16%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.9% – 95.42%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Haikin N. (G) 20. Sjovold F. 2. Nielsen V. 4. Bjortuft O. L. 15. Bjorkan F. 26. Evjen H. 7. Berg P. (C) 14. Saltnes U. 77. Zinckernagel P. 94. Mikkelsen A. 23. Hauge J.	99. Kochalski M. (G) 30. Huseynov A. 55. Huseynov B. (C) 81. Medina K. 27. Bayramov T. 66. Andrade P. 8. Jankovic M. 21. Kashchuk O. 10. Zoubir A. 11. Addai E. 18. Juninho
Substitutes
8. Auklend S. 44. Brondbo M. (G) 11. Espejord R. 19. Fet S. 6. Gundersen J. 21. Helmersen A. 25. Maatta I. 30. Sorensen A. 27. Sorli S. 29. Tomic M. 5. Wembangomo B. 99. Zugelj N.	90. Akhundzade N. 7. Benzia Y. 97. Buntic F. (G) 24. Isayev A. 15. Leandro Andrade 12. Mammadzada S. (G) 13. Mustafazada B. 22. Qurbanly M. 20. Richard Almeyda 2. Silva M. 29. Vesovic M.
Coaches
Knutsen K.	Qurbanov Q.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Bayramov T. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Berg P. ⚽, Saltnes U. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Addai E. ↓, Benzia Y. ↑,
63', Kashchuk O. ↓, Leandro Andrade ↑,
63', Huseynov A. ↓, Silva M. ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Zoubir A. ⚽, Benzia Y. (A),
73', Evjen H. ↓, Fet S. ↑,
74', Sjovold F. ↓, Wembangomo B. ↑,
74', Mikkelsen A. ↓, Maatta I. ↑,
78', Medina K. 🟨,
87', Kochalski M. 🟨,
89', Berg P. 🟨,
90', Bayramov T. ↓, Vesovic M. ↑,
90+1', Zinckernagel P. ↓, Zugelj N. ↑,
90+1', Saltnes U. ↓, Helmersen A. ↑,
90+5', Juninho ↓, Akhundzade N. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Bodø Glimt is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Qarabağ is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bodø Glimt could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bodø Glimt have a series of guest games.

In this match Bodø Glimt is a favorite.

There will not play in Bodø Glimt: Elabdellaoui O. (Injury) Skeide S. (Knee Injury) Vetti G. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Qarabağ: Cafarquliyev E. (Red Card) Mahammadaliyev S. (Injury) Romao J. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Bodø Glimt: Bassi D. (Thigh Injury) Burakovsky S. (Injury) Evjen H. (Injury) Hogh K. (Injury) Moe B. (Muscle Injury) Sjovold F. (Injury) Wembangomo B. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Qarabağ: Ramazanov A. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Bodø Glimt - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.33%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodø Glimt
Norwegian Eliteserien
03.11.24	Molde - Bodø Glimt	3:3 ✺
28.10.24	Bodø Glimt - Rosenborg	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.24	Braga - Bodø Glimt	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
19.10.24	Tromsø - Bodø Glimt	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Saint-Gilloise - Bodø Glimt	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TLWTT
- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League
01.11.24	Turan Tovuz - Qarabağ Agdam	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Shamakhi	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Ajax	0:3 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
18.10.24	Kapaz - Qarabağ Agdam	0:5 ✺
06.10.24	Sumgayit - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWLWW

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