Match Info

SWEDEN: DIVISION 1 - NORRA - ROUND 20

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday


	Boden		Vasalund

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.14	4.11	1.56
	4.95	3.98	1.58
	4.8	3.8	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.96 ↑ (3.56)	3.96 ↑ (3.65)	1.58 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boden
18.5%

Draw
23.2%

Vasalund
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

25.2%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

24.1%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boden's form might have worsened.

Vasalund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vasalund's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boden than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boden, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasalund than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vasalund, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Boden - Vasalund Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Granholm R. (G) 23. Amine Hejai S. 16. Bawa S. 14. Candela V. 7. Chatee J. 77. Cief V. A. A. 2. Gustavsson F. (C) 10. Johnson S. 6. Myske H. 35. Sahlin L. 3. Silla A.	1. Menka O. (G) 17. Duranic A. 12. Ersoy G. 5. Figueroa E. (C) 16. Gukasian E. 77. Jemal E. 24. Kocadag P. 11. Maripuu N. 21. Moses C. 13. Odhiambo F. 2. Pantelidis A.
Substitutes
1. Bandh S. (G) 11. Faustini R. 20. Nilsson N. 88. Nordell W. 4. Roberts K. 21. Vikstrom J. 5. Warja A.	22. Basaric B. 9. Bellander E. 10. Bouvin M. 7. Damasceno V. 25. Henareh D. (G) 20. Nikopoulos S. 26. Wambani A.

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Boden is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Vasalund is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vasalund will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Boden won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Boden won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodens BK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
27.08.23	Boden - Stockholm Internazionale	0:3 ✺
18.08.23	Piteå - Boden	1:1 ✺
13.08.23	Umeå - Boden	2:0 ✺
06.08.23	Boden - United Nordic	1:1 ✺
29.07.23	Dalkurd - Boden	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LTLTT
- Vasalunds IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
27.08.23	Vasalund - Sandviken	1:2 ✺
19.08.23	Karlstad - Vasalund	1:2 ✺
12.08.23	Vasalund - Dalkurd	2:0 ✺
05.08.23	Vasalund - Hammarby TFF	0:1 ✺
29.07.23	Sylvia - Vasalund	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
10.04.23	Vasalund - Boden	1:2
07.09.19	Vasalund - Boden	2:1
09.06.19	Boden - Vasalund	1:1

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