Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Norrland - Round 10

Date: 2 June 2024, Sunday


	Umeå		Boden

	1	X	2
	4.6	4.1	1.52
	4.75	4.33	1.53
	4.67	4.2	1.54
	4.67	4	1.54
	5	4.2	1.44
	5.09	4.3	1.5
	4.75	4.33	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.79 ↑ (3.36)	4.21 ↑ (4.2)	1.51 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umeå
18.9%

Draw
21.5%

Boden
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

21.6%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

21.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umeå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Umeå's form might have worsened.

Boden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boden's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Umeå, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boden than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Umeå - Boden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 1 - 2, ⚽,
57', 1 - 3, ⚽,
84', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Umeå won 3.

Recent matches Umeå is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Boden is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Umeå could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Boden will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Umeå won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Umeå won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umeå FC
Swedish Division 1 Norra
31.05.24	Piteå - Umeå	0:0 ✺
25.05.24	Umeå - Vasalund	1:1 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
24.05.24	Täfteå - Umeå	1:2 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
19.05.24	Umeå - Karlberg	3:1 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
19.05.24	Bergnäsets - Umeå	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTWWL
- Bodens BK
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
25.05.24	Boden - Älgarna-Härnösand	3:1 ✺
18.05.24	IFK Östersunds - Boden	1:2 ✺
11.05.24	Boden - Ytterhogdal	1:3 ✺
04.05.24	Skellefteå FF - Boden	2:2 ✺
26.04.24	Boden - Kiruna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
13.08.23	Umeå - Boden	2:0
22.04.23	Boden - Umeå	0:3
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
13.08.22	Boden - Umeå	6:0
23.04.22	Umeå - Boden	0:3
29.06.21	Umeå - Boden	1:0
18.06.21	Boden - Umeå	4:1
14.06.20	Boden - Umeå	3:1

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