Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 12 December 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Aspmyra Stadion (Bodø) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Glova F. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport App
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 4
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Sport Austria 8
Azerbaijan	00:00	Ictimai TV
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	Disney+
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 7
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, RTL+
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 256
Kazakhstan	02:00	Qazsport
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
South America	—	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 8
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 20, Blue Sport 20
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect
Turkey	23:00	TRT 1
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 7
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	Disney+


	Bodø Glimt		Beşiktaş

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.5	9
	1.31	5.75	9
	1.32	6	8.5
	1.33	5.89	8.6
	1.33	5.78	7.82	Watch
	1.3	5.5	9
	1.34	5.77	9.04
	1.34	5.55	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (2.15)	5.72 ↑ (3.1)	8.77 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodø Glimt
72.3%

Draw
16.8%

Beşiktaş
10.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.2%

29.9%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

29.2%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodø Glimt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bodø Glimt's performance.

Beşiktaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beşiktaş might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (-28%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bodø Glimt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beşiktaş could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.1%	10.1%	5.8%

Bodø Glimt - Beşiktaş Predictions

Users Predictions: Bodø Glimt will win (58 of 69 users predict this - 84.06%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.42% – 92.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Haikin N. (G) 20. Sjovold F. 4. Bjortuft O. L. 6. Gundersen J. 15. Bjorkan F. 26. Evjen H. 7. Berg P. (C) 14. Saltnes U. 77. Zinckernagel P. 9. Hogh K. 23. Hauge J.	30. Destanoglu E. (C) 2. Svensson J. 5. Sanuc T. T. 53. Topcu E. 22. Zaynutdinov B. 6. Al Musrati 73. Ndour C. 4. Bulut O. 83. Fernandes G. 27. Rafa Silva 9. Kilicsoy S.
Substitutes
8. Auklend S. 11. Espejord R. 19. Fet S. 21. Helmersen A. 1. Lund J. (G) 25. Maatta I. 94. Mikkelsen A. 2. Nielsen V. 30. Sorensen A. 27. Sorli S. 5. Wembangomo B. 99. Zugelj N.	44. Ay F. K. 94. Baytekin G. (G) 34. Gunok M. (G) 91. Hekimoglu M. 18. Joao Mario 77. Keles C. 19. Kilic A. 23. Muci E. 71. Onana J. 93. Ozuarap A. B. 79. Terzi E. 8. Ucan S.
Coaches
Knutsen K.	Topraktepe S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Fernandes G. ⚽, Zaynutdinov B. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Zinckernagel P. ⚽,
37', Ndour C. 🟨,
43', 2 - 1, Bjortuft O. L. ⚽, Zinckernagel P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Ndour C. ↓, Ucan S. ↑,
64', Al Musrati ↓, Muci E. ↑,
68', Ucan S. 🟨,
70', Evjen H. 🟨,
71', Evjen H. ↓, Fet S. ↑,
76', Bulut O. ↓, Hekimoglu M. ↑,
81', Hogh K. ↓, Helmersen A. ↑,
81', Zinckernagel P. ↓, Maatta I. ↑,
88', Rafa Silva ↓, Keles C. ↑,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Beşiktaş could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bodø Glimt is a favorite.

There will not play in Bodø Glimt: Bassi D. (Thigh Injury) Burakovsky S. (Injury) Skeide S. (Knee Injury) Vetti G. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Beşiktaş: Gabriel Paulista (Muscle Injury) Masuaku A. (Yellow Cards) Uduokhai F. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Beşiktaş: Uysal N. (Knee Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bodø Glimt won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Bodø Glimt won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodø Glimt
Norwegian Eliteserien
01.12.24	Bodø Glimt - Lillestrøm SK	5:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	Manchester United - Bodø Glimt	3:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
23.11.24	Odd - Bodø Glimt	0:2 ✺
10.11.24	Bodø Glimt - Fredrikstad	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	Bodø Glimt - Qarabağ Agdam	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLWTL
- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
07.12.24	Beşiktaş - Fenerbahçe	1:0 ✺
02.12.24	Hatayspor - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.11.24	Beşiktaş - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:3 ✺
Turkish Super League
24.11.24	Beşiktaş - Göztepe	2:4 ✺
10.11.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Beşiktaş	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
09.11.23	Beşiktaş - Bodø Glimt	1:2
26.10.23	Bodø Glimt - Beşiktaş	3:1

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