Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 34

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday


	Bognor Regis Town		Folkestone Invicta

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.6	2.3
	2.17	3.6	2.75
	2.02	3.92	3.09
	2.13	3.75	2.85
	2.5	3.75	2.25
	2.03	3.54	3.39
	2.17	3.6	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.61)	3.68 ↓ (3.71)	2.77 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bognor Regis Town
41.7%

Draw
25%

Folkestone Invicta
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

24.5%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

23.3%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bognor Regis Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bognor Regis Town's performance.

Folkestone Invicta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Folkestone Invicta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bognor Regis Town than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Folkestone Invicta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bognor Regis Town - Folkestone Invicta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Jebb J. ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, Fanimo M. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Mather J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+6', Henly J. 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bognor Regis won 3.

Recent matches Bognor Regis is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Folkestone is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Folkestone have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Bognor Regis won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 28:24 (average 2.2:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Bognor Regis won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21:12 (average 3.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Folkestone Invicta - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.59%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bognor Regis Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.03.25	Carshalton Athletic - Bognor Regis Town	4:4 ✺
22.02.25	Bognor Regis Town - Bowers & Pitsea	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Canvey Island - Bognor Regis Town	0:4 ✺
08.02.25	Bognor Regis Town - Billericay Town	0:3 ✺
04.02.25	Bognor Regis Town - Hashtag United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 TWWLT
- Folkestone Invicta
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.03.25	Folkestone Invicta - Potters Bar Town	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Cray Wanderers - Folkestone Invicta	3:2 ✺
16.02.25	Hashtag United - Folkestone Invicta	5:3 ✺
11.02.25	Dulwich Hamlet - Folkestone Invicta	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Hendon - Folkestone Invicta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
23.11.24	Folkestone Invicta - Bognor Regis Town	4:1
27.04.24	Bognor Regis Town - Folkestone Invicta	4:0
25.11.23	Folkestone Invicta - Bognor Regis Town	0:1
22.04.23	Bognor Regis Town - Folkestone Invicta	2:0
10.12.22	Folkestone Invicta - Bognor Regis Town	4:1
26.02.22	Folkestone Invicta - Bognor Regis Town	1:0
26.10.21	Bognor Regis Town - Folkestone Invicta	2:4

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