Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 14

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday


	Hashtag United		Folkestone Invicta

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.75	2
	2.10	3.62	2.98	Watch
	3.11	3.74	1.96
	4	4.2	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (4.73)	3.83 ↓ (4.08)	2.15 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hashtag United
31.3%

Draw
24.7%

Folkestone Invicta
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

22.1%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

21.4%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hashtag United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hashtag United's performance.

Folkestone Invicta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Folkestone Invicta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hashtag United than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hashtag United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Folkestone Invicta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hashtag United - Folkestone Invicta Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Folkestone (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Thompson-Brissett J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
86', 1 - 1, Rance D. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 1, May-Parrott L. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Recent form of Hashtag has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Folkestone is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Folkestone may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Folkestone is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hashtag won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hashtag won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hashtag United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.10.25	Carshalton Athletic - Hashtag United	2:2 ✺
14.10.25	Hashtag United - Wingate & Finchley	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Burgess Hill Town - Hashtag United	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Sittingbourne - Hashtag United	1:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
30.09.25	Hashtag United - Welling United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLLLW
- Folkestone Invicta
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Burgess Hill Town - Folkestone Invicta	1:4 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.10.25	Folkestone Invicta - Lewes	6:0 ✺
18.10.25	Folkestone Invicta - Dulwich Hamlet	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Southend United - Folkestone Invicta	4:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Dunstable - Folkestone Invicta	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.02.25	Hashtag United - Folkestone Invicta	5:3
12.10.24	Folkestone Invicta - Hashtag United	1:1
30.12.23	Folkestone Invicta - Hashtag United	1:3
26.08.23	Hashtag United - Folkestone Invicta	0:0

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