The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carshalton Athletic 52.7%
Draw 22.2%
Bognor Regis Town 25%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.3%
20.1%
16.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66%
19.3%
15.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carshalton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carshalton Athletic's form might have worsened.
Bognor Regis Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bognor Regis Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carshalton Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bognor Regis Town than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bognor Regis Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Carshalton Athletic - Bognor Regis Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
11', 0 - 1, Higgs T. ⚽,
14', 0 - 2, Mackenzie F. (Own goal),
18', 0 - 3, Mather J. ⚽,
43', 1 - 3, Saraiva F. (Pen),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
57', 2 - 3, Babajide O. ⚽,
75', 3 - 3, Frimpong K. ⚽,
85', 4 - 3, Babajide O. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 4, Davies C. ⚽,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 21 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Carshalton won 1.
Carshalton is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Bognor Regis is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Bognor Regis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Carshalton is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Carshalton to win the game is with odds 1.58.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Carshalton won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22:23 (average 1.6:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Carshalton won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.3:1.5).
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