Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Bogotá		Deportes Quindío

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	2.98	2.72	Watch
	2.78	3	2.74
	2.72	3	2.71	Watch
	2.63	2.75	2.6
	2.66	2.83	2.63	Watch
	3.1	3	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.1)	2.93 ↓ (3)	2.58 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bogotá
33.3%

Draw
31.3%

Deportes Quindío
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

29.4%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

28.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bogotá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Deportes Quindío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Quindío might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bogotá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Quindío than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Quindío could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bogotá - Deportes Quindío Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Deportes Quindío (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes Quindío (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Aguilar A. (G) 99. Castillo D. 6. Castro K. 18. Cuero B. 3. Diaz S. 32. Gutierrez A. 10. Huerfano C. 13. Moreno Abadia J. C. 30. Moreno F. (C) 33. Perez J. 11. Sandoval Lasso H.	12. Pabon S. (G) 29. Angulo Satizabal R. 10. Javier Reina 7. Lloreda J. 15. Mosquera F. 3. Payares M. 5. Roa S. 14. Rodrigo Moran L. 9. Rodriguez J. 17. Sandoval J. 27. Torres Y.
Substitutes
14. Alfonso A. 36. Canizalez S. 16. Jefferson R. 15. Malagon J. P. 28. Medina M. 21. Montien D. 1. Osorno J. (G) 9. Perea S. 31. Reyes D.	18. Arango W. 25. Carabali R. A. F. 11. Chala J. 21. Cordoba J. 23. Esterilla E. 19. Marin R. 2. Rovira U. 30. Silva J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Javier Reina ⚽,
13', 0 - 2, Roa S. ⚽,
38', Perez J. 🟨,
42', Mosquera F. 🟨,
45+1', Moreno F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Cuero B. ↓, Perea S. ↑,
67', Angulo Satizabal R. ↓, Carabali R. A. F. ↑,
67', Mosquera F. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
76', Roa S. ↓, Cordoba J. ↑,
78', Castro K. ↓, Alfonso A. ↑,
82', Payares M. 🟨,
83', Diaz S. 🟨,
84', Lloreda J. ↓, Esterilla E. ↑,
84', Rodriguez J. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
87', Castro B. ↓, Montien D. ↑,
87', Sandoval Lasso H. ↓, Malagon J. P. ↑,
90+3', Carabali R. A. F. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bogotá won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bogotá won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:36. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bogotá won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Quindio	11	4	4	3	9:8	1	16
12	Bogota	11	3	3	5	9:13	-4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bogotá FC
Colombian Primera B
16.03.26	Barranquilla - Bogotá	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	Bogotá - Tigres	0:1 ✺
04.03.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Bogotá	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Bogotá - Atlético Cali	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Bogotá - Boca Juniors de Cali	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLTWW
- Deportes Quindío
Colombian Primera B
16.03.26	Deportes Quindío - Real Cundinamarca	0:0 ✺
11.03.26	Patriotas - Deportes Quindío	0:0 ✺
05.03.26	Real Santander - Deportes Quindío	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Deportes Quindío - Unión Magdalena	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Envigado - Deportes Quindío	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
26.09.25	Deportes Quindío - Bogotá	6:1
19.04.25	Bogotá - Deportes Quindío	1:1
26.08.24	Deportes Quindío - Bogotá	2:2
10.03.24	Bogotá - Deportes Quindío	2:2
25.07.23	Deportes Quindío - Bogotá	1:0
22.02.23	Bogotá - Deportes Quindío	0:0
25.07.22	Bogotá - Deportes Quindío	1:2

Upcoming Matches